F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e51ea8dee653950c1e7e03cf0476cc28d79c7e67cc196739ce5dae883a980f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,411$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,851$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,344$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 2,197$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,846$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 2c | 1,755$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 6c | 1,676$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed Yes | 6c | 1,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…8c5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,537$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 7c | 1,350$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…2177backed Yes | 8c | 1,350$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,095$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked Yes | 6c | 805.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…1685backed Yes | 9c | 746.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…3f28backed Yes | 7c | 614.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 8c | 577$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…3959backed Yes | 8c | 517.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 4c | 500.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 4c | 473.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…a3d9backed Yes | 8c | 455.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…1216backed Yes | 3c | 407.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 403.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…adcfbacked Yes | 8c | 358.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 5c | 349.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 6c | 341.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 323.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 6c | 310$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Yes | 8c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…18e4backed Yes | 8c | 235.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…1e88backed Yes | 5c | 233.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…773fbacked Yes | 9c | 219.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 8c | 214.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 6c | 208.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…0722backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…6621backed Yes | 8c | 185.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…03d8backed Yes | 7c | 146.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 128.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 19c | 107.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.