F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea59cb8d7800501f5350a6d84ee0b47146900f9c2c0a1af3f78826230d5f1146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 4c | 10,089$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 3c | 6,150$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 4,592$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 18c | 3,342$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.04 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…fd2bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,221$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 15c | 2,888$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 79c | 2,874$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.62 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 2c | 2,685$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…3959backed Yes | 7c | 2,245$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,300$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 80c | 1,295$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,279$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,265$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 1,035$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 77c | 1,033$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…2177backed Yes | 4c | 902.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 80c | 884.43$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 18c | 838.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 11c | 829.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 10c | 799.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 16c | 687.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 24c | 645.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 22c | 607.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 606.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 20c | 582$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 4c | 526.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 4c | 488.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 471.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…5241backed Yes | 4c | 470$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 5c | 469.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Yes | 22c | 463.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…21dfbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 15c | 450$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…99b1backed Yes | 21c | 420.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes | 24c | 398.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 4c | 384.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…a3d9backed Yes | 6c | 355.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 78c | 347.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…2e62backed Yes | 4c | 332.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 76c | 325.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 296.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 278$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 8c | 267.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…9b9bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…34b0backed Yes | 4c | 224.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 21c | 205.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Yes | 22c | 182.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…0314backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…363cbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…2bd4backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…ba56backed Yes | 16c | 139.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…ec4ebacked Yes | 17c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4ab1backed Yes | 15c | 110.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…2887backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 107.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 21c | 93.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7199…8494backed Yes | 22c | 88.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…88e3backed Yes | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…bbd6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked Yes | 15c | 77.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1721…292cbacked Yes | 17c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…47f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…be87backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…3f39backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked No | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.