F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1adc098f0fcddbcad3050aecb21dbe4986f04222310bf08ac00b7b2b8dab7ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 11c | 18,200$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 62c | 17,708$10,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 16,518$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.36 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Yes | 56c | 9,195$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked No | 36c | 7,473$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 39c | 5,894$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 63c | 5,044$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.04 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 38c | 4,503$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.06 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 36c | 3,693$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 65c | 2,939$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 2,422$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 38c | 2,150$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.87 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 36c | 2,021$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.56 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…4d3dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,895$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed No | 12c | 1,625$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 34c | 1,553$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 37c | 1,550$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.5 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 50c | 1,454$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.95 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…ab9abacked Yes | 43c | 1,400$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…6437backed Yes | 75c | 1,312$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 40c | 1,046$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 38c | 1,046$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 34c | 982.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.78 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…8dbebacked No | 41c | 875.17$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Yes | 63c | 837.67$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…41a5backed Yes | 34c | 813.01$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…5d1dbacked Yes | 64c | 781.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 8c | 751.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 59c | 710.01$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 41c | 671.68$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…f0bebacked Yes | 46c | 656.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 62c | 609.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.59 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…3c8fbacked No | 37c | 599.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 67c | 579.53$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…7f3ebacked Yes | 64c | 540.49$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 48c | 535.03$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes | 48c | 516$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 42c | 493$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5d…a1b2backed Yes | 41c | 492.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 77c | 474.18$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 78c | 473.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 46c | 459.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 38c | 454$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked No | 66c | 453.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes | 64c | 450.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 405.69$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 41c | 401.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…709dbacked Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 40c | 394.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 44c | 376.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked No | 62c | 362$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 53c | 348.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 44c | 344$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…927ebacked Yes | 40c | 330.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 39c | 328.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 37c | 327.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 38c | 315$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…1156backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5030backed Yes | 63c | 309.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 62c | 301.05$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 50c | 300.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…aa31backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…0661backed Yes | 68c | 295.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…7653backed Yes | 61c | 292.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 66c | 277$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…9056backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked Yes | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…15ebbacked Yes | 63c | 239$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes | 63c | 236.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 68c | 232.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…1f6ebacked No | 63c | 229.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes | 61c | 219.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…dad5backed No | 38c | 218.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 61c | 211.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 22c | 209.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 22c | 209.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…f6a8backed Yes | 33c | 209.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 58c | 204.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 21c | 200.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…47d7backed Yes | 64c | 197.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 39c | 196.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…b9f3backed Yes | 41c | 185.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.