NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb75ad1d36ca556770aa2e1e12d1a6cc4a96039664434a33d4d7221504fa28c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,037,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,376,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,037,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Lions | 32c | 624,875$199,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424,914.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Ravens | 68c | 500,000$340,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340,000 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Ravens | 65c | 243,577$159,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,167.65 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 60c | 234,298$139,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,931.16 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 68c | 179,313$121,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,932.6 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Ravens | 52c | 115,212$60,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,229.87 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ravens | 31c | 112,700$34,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,396.68 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Ravens | 69c | 106,000$73,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Ravens | 67c | 105,555$71,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,167.06 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Ravens | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,999.94 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Ravens | 64c | 90,555$57,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,600.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lions | 79c | 90,275$71,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,188.1 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lions | 42c | 89,593$38,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,578.79 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Lions | 31c | 75,988$23,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,371.62 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lions | 32c | 74,300$23,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,524 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lions | 75c | 71,068$53,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,412.14 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens | 61c | 69,621$42,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,375.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Lions | 50c | 61,704$30,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,889.39 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lions | 31c | 50,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,399.93 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Lions | 26c | 39,790$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,268.59 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Ravens | 68c | 39,000$26,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,519.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5846backed Ravens | 69c | 36,213$24,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,986.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lions | 45c | 33,456$15,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,430.08 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Ravens | 39c | 31,585$12,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,296.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lions | 53c | 30,671$16,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,549.31 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Ravens | 54c | 29,592$16,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,107.61 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Lions | 63c | 25,807$16,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,638.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Lions | 32c | 24,097$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,385.75 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Ravens | 0c | 22,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lions | 32c | 21,819$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,937.08 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 20c | 21,522$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.32 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Lions | 32c | 20,313$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,812.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Ravens | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Lions | 40c | 19,168$7,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,569.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 33c | 16,168$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,869.4 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Ravens | 65c | 16,130$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ravens | 68c | 15,912$10,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,820.15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ravens | 69c | 15,857$10,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,941.3 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lions | 31c | 15,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,299.95 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Ravens | 58c | 14,560$8,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,444.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ravens | 68c | 14,480$9,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,846.49 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Ravens | 66c | 14,455$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lions | 31c | 13,893$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,541.55 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Lions | 32c | 13,785$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,374.06 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Lions | 44c | 13,623$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.04 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Lions | 73c | 12,073$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lions | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ravens | 43c | 11,996$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.93 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 32c | 11,647$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.96 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Ravens | 68c | 11,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Lions | 66c | 10,946$7,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Lions | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Ravens | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lions | 31c | 9,835$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.55 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Lions | 32c | 9,344$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.75 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…9ff6backed Lions | 33c | 8,900$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ravens | 40c | 8,357$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.77 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Lions | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Ravens | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Ravens | 69c | 7,300$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Lions | 32c | 7,032$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.57 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Lions | 32c | 6,866$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens | 37c | 6,749$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.74 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…f2f5backed Lions | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lions | 59c | 6,074$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.04 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Ravens | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens | 48c | 5,853$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.86 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Ravens | 68c | 5,765$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.17 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6f8fbacked Lions | 32c | 5,540$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 40cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 37c | 5,464$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.87 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…7a9fbacked Ravens | 69c | 5,363$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Lions | 38c | 5,200$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lions | 40c | 5,184$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.17 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…b11dbacked Ravens | 69c | 5,158$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Lions | 32c | 5,107$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.84 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Ravens | 48c | 5,089$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.35 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Lions | 71c | 5,063$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Lions | 32c | 5,034$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ravens | 65c | 5,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Ravens | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Ravens | 70c | 5,000$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.33 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Ravens | 47c | 4,569$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Ravens | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lions | 31c | 4,496$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.58 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ravens | 6c | 4,435$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Lions | 36c | 4,434$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.38 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Lions | 32c | 4,428$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…2682backed Ravens | 68c | 4,410$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lions | 55c | 4,153$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…1a08backed Ravens | 68c | 4,118$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Ravens | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Lions | 32c | 3,981$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Lions | 33c | 3,792$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…eae4backed Lions | 32c | 3,755$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Lions | 38c | 3,526$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…3c18backed Ravens | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Lions | 29c | 3,457$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.24 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lions | 50c | 3,417$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.72 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Ravens | 68c | 3,395$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…8562backed Ravens | 42c | 3,351$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Ravensthis page
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 62.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 64.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 66.5Over won
- Spread: BAL (-3.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-4.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-5.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-6.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-7.5)DET won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.