NFL · resolved market
Spread: BAL (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaededea278ff04dfeaea4c2c69c7ee26a9ea4452500487025bbc268cf45b6a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DETof BAL, DET
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0549…c052backed DET | 50c | 56,051$28,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,025.55 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed BAL | 51c | 45,353$23,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,130.25 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked BAL | 50c | 33,068$16,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,534 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked BAL | 50c | 31,111$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,666.61 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed DET | 51c | 30,000$15,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,705 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed DET | 49c | 25,191$12,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,847.19 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed BAL | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed DET | 49c | 18,568$9,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,429.53 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked DET | 49c | 12,888$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.86 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed BAL | 49c | 9,605$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked DET | 49c | 8,887$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.15 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked DET | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed BAL | 56c | 5,263$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.37 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed DET | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed BAL | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed DET | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed BAL | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed BAL | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed DET | 49c | 4,000$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.32 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed DET | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed DET | 50c | 3,678$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed BAL | 51c | 3,074$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked BAL | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed DET | 45c | 2,864$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.64 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked DET | 49c | 2,703$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.88 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked BAL | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked BAL | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed DET | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked BAL | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.86 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed DET | 48c | 1,697$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.39 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed DET | 49c | 1,138$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.69 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed DET | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed BAL | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed BAL | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked BAL | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed BAL | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed BAL | 51c | 956$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked BAL | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…6e6dbacked BAL | 51c | 851.94$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked BAL | 50c | 802.2$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed DET | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed BAL | 51c | 783.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed BAL | 51c | 623.53$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked BAL | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed DET | 51c | 592.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed BAL | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed BAL | 45c | 561.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed BAL | 50c | 517.36$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.93 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked BAL | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BAL | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked BAL | 55c | 454.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed DET | 50c | 402$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed BAL | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed BAL | 50c | 346.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed BAL | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed DET | 51c | 280$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked DET | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed BAL | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked DET | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…5322backed BAL | 51c | 241.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked BAL | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed DET | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed BAL | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed BAL | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed BAL | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ed9abacked BAL | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked DET | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed BAL | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed DET | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed BAL | 55c | 183.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked BAL | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked BAL | 51c | 136.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed DET | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked BAL | 51c | 119.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed BAL | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BAL | 52c | 106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed BAL | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BAL | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5f8bbacked DET | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed BAL | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed DET | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e11…40ffbacked BAL | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…14fbbacked DET | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed BAL | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…55f0backed DET | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed BAL | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…8bbdbacked BAL | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed BAL | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…2febbacked DET | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed BAL | 50c | 64.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed BAL | 48c | 60.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed BAL | 51c | 58.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed BAL | 50c | 57.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked BAL | 46c | 57.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked BAL | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked BAL | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed DET | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed BAL | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…9da7backed BAL | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed BAL | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BAL (-4.5)this page
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 62.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 64.5Over won
- DET vs. BAL: O/U 66.5Over won
- Lions vs. RavensLions won
- Spread: BAL (-3.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-5.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-6.5)DET won
- Spread: BAL (-7.5)DET won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.