NFL · resolved market

DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e6f48ec1f81a29687a2ab428b1978e10939a4b8928d866407ecc588aa1feba

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Sep 23, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $257,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $281,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,165 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Over	48c	45,869$21,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,060.43	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Under	52c	42,096$21,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,889.92	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under	52c	23,712$12,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,330.24	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Over	48c	20,767$9,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,790.23	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-8.5wins	-0.29per pick	50cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Over	48c	19,681$9,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,234.01	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Under	53c	19,399$10,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,281.29	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Over	48c	11,715$5,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,125.75	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Over	46c	10,000$4,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,349.99	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under	52c	9,902$5,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,149	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Under	54c	8,757$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	47c	8,300$3,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Over	47c	6,200$2,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,286	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over	51c	5,220$2,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,533.6	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Under	53c	5,007$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,635.28	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Under	49c	4,507$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.01	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Under	53c	3,139$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.93	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	52c	2,600$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Under	52c	2,107$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.58	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over	47c	2,090$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.56	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Under	53c	1,890$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.69	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Under	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Under	53c	1,794$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.82	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	52c	1,793$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.11	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under	52c	1,705$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.05	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9830…df31backed Under	53c	1,590$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Over	49c	1,488$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.73	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Over	47c	1,064$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.82	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Under	50c	1,046$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x285f…2c03backed Over	47c	900$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	47c	845$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.25	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Under	53c	833.33$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.33	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	52c	798.38$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.98	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Over	53c	755$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.85	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…5c3cbacked Under	53c	747.17$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over	47c	727.66$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.66	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Over	48c	600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-7.8wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x933b…ed9abacked Under	35c	550$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over	47c	546.38$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.58	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	285	56.5%161 W · 124 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	49c	490$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.26	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Over	48c	490$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	34cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Under	54c	468.68$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Over	47c	468.11$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.1	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Over	46c	403.25$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.75	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	47c	389$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.57	304	42.4%129 W · 175 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under	46c	344.7$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.47	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce7…7a65backed Over	49c	319.22$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c3…3242backed Over	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Over	58c	247.97$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.92	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Over	48c	246$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.13	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-10.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under	54c	243.26$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	117	44.4%52 W · 65 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over	47c	209.94$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.54	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	384	59.9%230 W · 154 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over	48c	208$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.16	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…d105backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Over	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	330	47.9%158 W · 172 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Over	55c	180.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Over	48c	166.69$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.68	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Under	51c	147.35$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Under	40c	130.7$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ad…3effbacked Over	47c	120$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…877ebacked Under	54c	120$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5254…5f7dbacked Over	47c	117.02$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.02	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Over	48c	114.58$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.58	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	45c	114$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.7	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Under	53c	112.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.72	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Over	48c	112.5$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Over	48c	110.42$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.42	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	208	51%106 W · 102 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9efd…1880backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	162	75.3%122 W · 40 L	+17.3wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x178d…dcbdbacked Over	48c	85.42$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x855c…2288backed Under	53c	85.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53f1…9434backed Over	47c	81.45$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.25	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…bc1bbacked Under	53c	79.17$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c6…a1aebacked Over	48c	79.17$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under	51c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	310	32.6%101 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	198	44.9%89 W · 109 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf9…48e2backed Over	48c	47.92$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccac…ab7dbacked Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over	48c	42.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	177	41.8%74 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x292a…66c1backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…2febbacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb3…5874backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad0…16d0backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c12…042fbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event