TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccac…ab7d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BAL (-7.5)backed DET · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.9
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Buccaneers vs. Texans: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Texans (-2.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.58
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Falcons vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$59.65
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.04
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.78
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$64.48
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+136.3%+$44.97
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.22
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$35.04
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.27
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Cowboys vs. Falconsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will the Bills beat the Dolphins by 6 or more points?backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will the Commanders beat the Giants by 4 or more points?backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$15.82
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.94
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.9
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$10.18
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$96.63
Will the Utah Jazz finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+96.2%+$40.42
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+111.1%+$33.33
Bucks vs Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.39
Lakers vs Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs Pacersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$28.81
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bronny James score a point tonight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT+53.5%+$25.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.3%+$16.45
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.46
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel withdraws from Gaza before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$147.34
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+119.1%+$33.86
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT+137.9%+$34.48
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+213.1%+$213.14
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Will Israel target Tehran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+25%+$15.43
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$65
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ole Miss and LSU combine for 63 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
Will Notre Dame beat Stanford by 23 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Arizona beat Texas Tech?backed TTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Washington beat Michigan?backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$31.46
Will Georgia beat Alabama?backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will USC beat Wisconsin?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Baylor beat BYU?backed Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Michigan beat Minnesota by 10 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kansas St. beat Oklahoma St. by 5 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$45.58
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$53.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+167.1%+$47.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+70.1%+$21.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.