Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford beat West Ham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6f78eba930ba4c0891f6fbec38e0fdafdea56ea7387f712e97bdf57dd38440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,558$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 55c | 1,349$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.77 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked No | 39c | 736.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 60c | 707.99$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.56 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 55c | 443.93$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed No | 57c | 348.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 42c | 294.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 56c | 199.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 44c | 156.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 42c | 148.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 43c | 77.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…c75fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…fc1bbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford beat West Ham?this page
- Will Brentford vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham beat Brentford?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.