NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab5d741fc9f6c03a05baf9dad004ba41a0794523da144854224f5c3324add9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 841 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Bucks | 49c | 45,496$22,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,004.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 51c | 18,831$9,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,566.48 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bucks | 46c | 18,219$8,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.29 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 52c | 12,680$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.89 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 39c | 11,487$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.93 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 45c | 10,520$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Kings | 65c | 10,511$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.97 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kings | 72c | 10,499$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.82 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Kings | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Kings | 51c | 6,251$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.38 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kings | 51c | 6,140$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.6 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Kings | 57c | 5,386$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings | 52c | 4,670$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.42 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 48c | 4,599$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.54 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Bucks | 42c | 4,515$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 55c | 4,163$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.02 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Bucks | 50c | 3,660$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Bucks | 62c | 3,237$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 55c | 3,200$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.34 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bucks | 46c | 3,144$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.32 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.96 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Bucks | 28c | 2,888$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 52c | 2,793$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.39 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bucks | 45c | 2,786$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.06 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,600$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 53c | 2,590$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.62 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 27c | 2,562$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.13 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 46c | 2,560$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.45 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Bucks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 53c | 2,368$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.21 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 40c | 2,297$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.31 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 54c | 2,249$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.82 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bucks | 45c | 2,054$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.42 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 58c | 2,050$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Kings | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.51 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Kings | 50c | 1,875$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.51 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 54c | 1,687$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 42c | 1,520$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.2 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Kings | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks | 37c | 1,505$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.85 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bucks | 47c | 1,503$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.24 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 45c | 1,338$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.42 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 27c | 1,318$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.86 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Kings | 79c | 1,271$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Bucks | 45c | 1,259$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.71 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 37c | 1,258$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.37 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 51c | 1,212$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.31 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 48c | 1,204$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.96 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Kings | 64c | 1,193$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Kings | 60c | 1,142$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 51c | 1,133$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.76 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks | 44c | 1,132$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.45 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 54c | 1,120$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Kings | 56c | 1,033$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Kings | 67c | 1,028$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Kings | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Kings | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Kings | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Kings | 55c | 999.64$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.8 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 51c | 978$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.78 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…1aa1backed Kings | 79c | 926.08$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 45c | 924.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.49 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Kings | 20c | 899.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Kings | 56c | 896.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Kings | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed Bucks | 40c | 868.43$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 45c | 821.44$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Kings | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Bucks | 43c | 769.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 56c | 749.27$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 57c | 698.72$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.02 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Bucks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kings | 56c | 639.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bucks | 32c | 616.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.55 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 56c | 601.01$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…5b3bbacked Kings | 58c | 584.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 55c | 574.41$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 56c | 558.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Bucks | 48c | 550$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kings | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Kings | 55c | 519.78$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Bucks | 38c | 516.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Bucks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bucks | 45c | 499.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Kings | 41c | 484.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 54c | 455$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.