NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e045d6b980f9dd616ee5683685fc323cdfb20f24899628075e40e332951f504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Raiders, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bengals | 77c | 10,051$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.73 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 5c | 9,399$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 21c | 5,123$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.19 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raiders | 23c | 5,067$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.1 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Raiders | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Bengals | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bengals | 77c | 1,821$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.87 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Raiders | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Bengals | 77c | 1,040$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bengals | 76c | 999.96$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…7153backed Bengals | 71c | 931.08$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raiders | 33c | 918.89$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals | 76c | 832.99$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Raiders | 28c | 693.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Raiders | 42c | 684.35$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 20c | 564.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 23c | 557.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Bengals | 74c | 539.06$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…4e43backed Raiders | 24c | 524.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…5b73backed Bengals | 77c | 524.73$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Raiders | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Raiders | 23c | 332.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Raiders | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…5e03backed Bengals | 77c | 235.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bengals | 55c | 225.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raiders | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bengals | 77c | 194.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…0e35backed Raiders | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Raiders | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…e47cbacked Raiders | 24c | 152.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Raiders | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Raiders | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Bengals | 76c | 130.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Bengals | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raiders | 24c | 119.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Bengals | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Bengals | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Bengals | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Bengals | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…9aafbacked Raiders | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…8b65backed Raiders | 26c | 96.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Raiders | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Raiders | 20c | 95.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Bengals | 76c | 92.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raiders | 18c | 89.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d180backed Raiders | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bengals | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe446…e465backed Raiders | 24c | 79.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Raiders | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Raiders | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Bengals | 77c | 71.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…73f5backed Raiders | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…6be4backed Bengals | 77c | 57.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…f4bebacked Bengals | 77c | 56.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Raiders | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…e000backed Raiders | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…c39cbacked Bengals | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Raiders | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…7b2abacked Bengals | 77c | 48.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked Bengals | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…c1edbacked Raiders | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…5fd6backed Bengals | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…aedfbacked Raiders | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Raiders | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…eba1backed Bengals | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…04e5backed Bengals | 77c | 39.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Bengals | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Bengals | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…b9bbbacked Bengals | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Bengals | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…59f2backed Bengals | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…2662backed Bengals | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 79 | 75.9%60 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…79f5backed Bengals | 77c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Bengals | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…9ac6backed Bengals | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…e1d1backed Bengals | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…e3f4backed Bengals | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…7ee1backed Bengals | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…794ebacked Bengals | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…cc32backed Bengals | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…e9cfbacked Bengals | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…3132backed Bengals | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Bengals | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Bengals | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…c67cbacked Bengals | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Bengals | 73c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.