Middle East · resolved market
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c082b4f588d1d5d3ee74f207a01e62c145ede98829d8acbb94e4de60beefccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 52c | 13,119$6,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,854.36 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 49c | 9,068$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 6,546$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.85 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 40c | 6,189$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.48 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 28c | 3,478$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd874…a314backed No | 49c | 3,391$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 59c | 2,525$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.1 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 27c | 2,241$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 51c | 1,739$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 1,627$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.59 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 49c | 1,609$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 12c | 1,464$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 1,355$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,228$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.54 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…6498backed Yes | 22c | 1,142$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 44c | 1,132$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.17 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Yes | 41c | 1,035$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 35c | 930.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.67 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 69c | 821.6$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.19 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 33c | 778.47$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 33c | 709.57$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 50c | 693.47$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…5ef5backed Yes | 80c | 564.3$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 38c | 523.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 69c | 522.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed No | 56c | 508.83$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…4c84backed No | 52c | 475.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…a6b0backed No | 34c | 471.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 70c | 448.97$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked No | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 44c | 400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…9483backed Yes | 51c | 399.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 65c | 399$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 59c | 376$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 34c | 360$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 60c | 312.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 66c | 310$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…0687backed Yes | 37c | 302.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed No | 78c | 299.13$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked No | 44c | 297.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…d7cdbacked Yes | 75c | 296.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…50e9backed No | 22c | 281.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2224backed Yes | 50c | 264.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 46c | 259.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…4787backed Yes | 54c | 257.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Yes | 56c | 257.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked Yes | 69c | 253$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…1c00backed Yes | 55c | 252.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…f9b9backed Yes | 61c | 223.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…a517backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…aaa5backed Yes | 69c | 190.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 176.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed Yes | 56c | 169.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…a8abbacked Yes | 48c | 162.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…9ed1backed Yes | 48c | 159.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…377dbacked Yes | 70c | 147.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…12f3backed Yes | 13c | 146.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…b944backed Yes | 52c | 142.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 68c | 142$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 56c | 133.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…4639backed No | 24c | 126.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…6cabbacked Yes | 57c | 125.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…3d82backed No | 18c | 112.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked No | 32c | 107.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6f…bc71backed Yes | 28c | 107.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…5e93backed No | 37c | 106.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 36c | 103.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…1e83backed No | 70c | 103.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…7f57backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…4b4bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…9eb8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 31c | 98.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…f029backed Yes | 33c | 98.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…4019backed Yes | 33c | 97.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…c2f3backed Yes | 33c | 97.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…acb7backed Yes | 33c | 96.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf181…0332backed Yes | 33c | 96.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…ad5fbacked Yes | 33c | 95.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…e6f8backed Yes | 33c | 94.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 45c | 93.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 72c | 93.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…8177backed Yes | 33c | 93.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…3a66backed Yes | 34c | 90.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…55fcbacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…003dbacked Yes | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…576fbacked Yes | 56c | 87.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…d8c0backed Yes | 69c | 85.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.