NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64be39940b9fbc78ba37ba68f428a73e3407183b82a6d7fbe4a8966555de420c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997e…5712backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 20,607$11,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 17,055$8,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.29 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 56c | 14,205$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,938.48 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 26c | 12,155$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…1818backed Nuggets | 46c | 11,022$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.92 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 55c | 9,900$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…6360backed Nuggets | 46c | 9,541$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 8,981$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 8,450$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.53 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 6,556$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.71 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets | 16c | 6,423$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,920$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.68 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 5,210$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,110$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.7 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,050$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,598$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.51 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Nuggets | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,332$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,325$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.3 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,240$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.8 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 2,448$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,419$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,284$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.26 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,000$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,983$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.31 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,800$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.97 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,799$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.58 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,700$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.65 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,529$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,513$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.01 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nuggets | 16c | 1,500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,458$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,362$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.16 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,264$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nuggets | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,229$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.95 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,200$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,149$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,124$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.52 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,104$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.33 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,100$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.75 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,017$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.67 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.86 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.19 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 980.41$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 951.86$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Nuggets | 41c | 865.91$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Nuggets | 57c | 776.09$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 49c | 765.21$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.41 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 712.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nuggets | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 52c | 676.15$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 635$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nuggets | 48c | 617.39$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nuggets | 49c | 600.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 591.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 551.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 550.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 44c | 543.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 539.2$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 52c | 527$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed Nuggets | 66c | 514.35$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Nuggets | 52c | 502.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 61c | 500$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nuggets | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nuggets | 51c | 494.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Nuggets | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…a36fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 445.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 444$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.66 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 425.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nuggets | 24c | 421.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nuggets | 47c | 412.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Nuggets | 3c | 405.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 50c | 402.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Nuggets | 56c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 399.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 393.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nuggets | 28c | 393.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 358.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.