College Football · resolved market
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4244d67b8c06e75754dfb12ac35f7f807d8ad5521e598dc9dc4d925d9afbf96d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof Ole Miss, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ole Miss | 75c | 3,589$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Ole Miss | 62c | 3,062$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.47 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked LSU | 38c | 2,250$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed LSU | 34c | 2,040$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.44 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed LSU | 26c | 1,455$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.86 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Ole Miss | 79c | 1,288$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked LSU | 28c | 845$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.55 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed LSU | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed LSU | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Ole Miss | 79c | 442.17$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Ole Miss | 61c | 321.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked LSU | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked LSU | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…e2ebbacked LSU | 34c | 165.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…33cbbacked Ole Miss | 65c | 156.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed Ole Miss | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked LSU | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked LSU | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Ole Miss | 63c | 124.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed LSU | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed LSU | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…4f16backed LSU | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked LSU | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed LSU | 20c | 81.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed LSU | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…5d44backed Ole Miss | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…dd50backed Ole Miss | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…1d1ebacked LSU | 41c | 61.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed LSU | 42c | 59.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ole Miss | 58c | 59.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed LSU | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ole Miss | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Ole Miss | 78c | 49.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Ole Miss | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed LSU | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked LSU | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6181backed Ole Miss | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…0b96backed Ole Miss | 62c | 35.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed LSU | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Ole Miss | 62c | 29.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Ole Miss | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Ole Miss | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ole Miss beat LSU?this page
- Will Ole Miss and LSU combine for 63 or more points?Under won
- Will Ole Miss beat LSU by 4 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.