TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UConn vs. Florida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Floridaof UConn, Florida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$657,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$693,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…3e11backed UConn3c169,496$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.264134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802d…3f81backed UConn18c136,000$24,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed UConn21c33,215$6,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.197912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed UConn0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked UConn34c18,772$6,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,447.875054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Florida79c17,687$13,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.954242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Florida62c13,953$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,353.278143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed UConn34c8,784$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.4510041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed UConn46c8,627$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed UConn6c6,100$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.296842.6%29 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Florida78c5,962$4,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.563046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed UConn16c5,147$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.0942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Florida80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked UConn25c5,000$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida57c4,929$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.678356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed UConn39c2,541$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed UConn15c2,000$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.54932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed UConn35c1,840$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked UConn24c1,704$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.313036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed UConn26c1,696$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Florida60c1,665$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.874052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked UConn23c1,504$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed UConn41c1,400$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.228644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked UConn29c1,395$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.194632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed UConn37c1,118$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8116445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed UConn5c1,050$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed UConn38c799.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed UConn41c743.27$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.746440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Florida68c735.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed UConn50c735.63$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.783243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked UConn27c733.81$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1325043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Florida52c725.6$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4410335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Florida75c684.03$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked UConn18c664$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5215851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida62c632.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.021,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked UConn28c614.43$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed UConn7c600$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked UConn14c565$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.32633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5c…fbc2backed UConn3c545.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed UConn32c528.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.841625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked UConn21c455.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.11825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked UConn34c450$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UConn17c438$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.461,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed UConn27c435$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Florida54c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.119238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Florida50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed UConn33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed UConn25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked UConn45c355.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c03…8b7bbacked UConn48c342.66$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.481650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked UConn24c337.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0414021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Florida47c335.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.723016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Florida74c308.07$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.161652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed UConn27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed UConn22c266.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…7e92backed Florida72c242.84$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked UConn7c227.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked UConn27c218.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.885337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UConn22c216$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.682,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Florida67c210.45$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Florida60c202.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.342619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Florida58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.998737.9%33 W · 54 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7cbe…f2d9backed UConn52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Florida54c184.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.981127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Florida58c170$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Florida52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccda…4988backed UConn24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed UConn27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Florida56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Florida70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked UConn29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked UConn51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5145953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed UConn51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Florida66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked UConn26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d6…d072backed UConn27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked UConn42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccac…ab7dbacked Florida57c95.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed UConn21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed UConn23c91.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…8f26backed Florida78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.661936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Florida48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed UConn19c83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.774831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked UConn27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f36…2305backed UConn57c63.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.261957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed UConn40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed UConn27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…fa23backed UConn25c54.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked UConn38c54.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.391735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed UConn38c50.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed UConn24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked UConn51c49.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x757a…b197backed UConn27c48.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc828…66b7backed UConn29c45.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5245…88f9backed UConn25c43.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Florida70c42.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed Florida47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed UConn61c40.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.613923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Florida64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33773%27 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19a1…9e65backed Florida51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.