NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb62d99d099c411661b986dca4ebffcc981dfbed1534e0cd642e1d6a72ea06ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Kings | 8c | 81,240$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.14 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Mavericks | 75c | 55,921$42,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,757.67 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed Mavericks | 35c | 54,885$19,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,609.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Kings | 67c | 46,488$30,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,974.27 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 59c | 37,177$21,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,260.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mavericks | 33c | 36,527$12,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,298.57 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks | 33c | 29,688$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,927.75 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kings | 65c | 26,521$17,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,163.22 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 23c | 19,897$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks | 43c | 19,269$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,895.44 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 59c | 18,722$11,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,123.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Mavericks | 78c | 18,497$14,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.09 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Kings | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Kings | 67c | 14,656$9,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,861.67 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…b8b3backed Kings | 69c | 14,422$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Mavericks | 77c | 14,319$11,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.63 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Mavericks | 32c | 13,693$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310.92 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks | 43c | 13,624$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.22 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings | 65c | 12,522$8,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,097.31 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 45c | 12,321$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.33 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks | 34c | 12,227$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.76 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 57c | 11,070$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.63 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Kings | 68c | 10,044$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.77 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mavericks | 37c | 9,823$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.68 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 68c | 9,750$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 39c | 9,618$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.81 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 36c | 9,571$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.8 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Kings | 68c | 9,339$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.78 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 42c | 8,366$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Kings | 66c | 8,360$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.37 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 8,350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings | 65c | 8,069$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.76 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Kings | 66c | 7,989$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.74 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kings | 39c | 6,077$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.83 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 66c | 5,516$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.71 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kings | 65c | 5,489$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Mavericks | 35c | 4,197$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.91 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Kings | 42c | 4,103$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.32 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mavericks | 77c | 4,018$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 66c | 3,982$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.46 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Mavericks | 63c | 3,979$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Mavericks | 36c | 3,746$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 68c | 3,688$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 41c | 3,624$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…2e9dbacked Mavericks | 36c | 3,317$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Mavericks | 62c | 3,235$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kings | 64c | 3,113$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…0625backed Mavericks | 37c | 3,112$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 36c | 3,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.95 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 36c | 2,855$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Mavericks | 32c | 2,792$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Kings | 66c | 2,607$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.1 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,593$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.56 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 66c | 2,403$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.87 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 2c | 2,242$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Kings | 69c | 2,189$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.71 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 37c | 2,105$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Mavericks | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Kings | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.92 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Kings | 44c | 1,997$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 68c | 1,986$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.76 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,888$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.17 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,876$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.92 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Kings | 11c | 1,726$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,723$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kings | 60c | 1,698$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.22 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Kings | 65c | 1,662$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 1,625$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.22 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…d6c3backed Kings | 65c | 1,623$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Kings | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Kings | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Mavericks | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…17f3backed Kings | 65c | 1,489$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Kings | 14c | 1,450$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kings | 67c | 1,346$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.63 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Kings | 67c | 1,262$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.32 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked Kings | 1c | 1,240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Kings | 61c | 1,233$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.98 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Kings | 5c | 1,206$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.88 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,100$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Kings | 64c | 1,100$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,098$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,056$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks | 32c | 1,028$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.81 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Mavericks | 35c | 999.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Mavericks | 32c | 999.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mavericks | 36c | 998.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.35 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Kings | 47c | 920.88$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Kings | 67c | 920.17$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.97 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 900$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mavericks | 32c | 896.88$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.88 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.