Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356d555a8a92b5acba4896191a47f793ee7e07901d9a12f100cbd1bd75ae562d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 55c | 5,654$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.88 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 45c | 3,313$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…9d53backed Yes | 43c | 2,210$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 56c | 2,049$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.17 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 57c | 1,688$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.6 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,287$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 42c | 1,254$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 57c | 1,062$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.14 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 42c | 889.3$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.51 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…a7efbacked Yes | 44c | 681.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 57c | 620$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 55c | 467.88$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…7bbbbacked Yes | 44c | 343.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 57c | 295.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51c…0f49backed Yes | 46c | 292.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…c5c1backed Yes | 47c | 241.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed No | 58c | 238.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 68c | 237.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked No | 58c | 155.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…2c30backed No | 56c | 150.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…a53dbacked Yes | 44c | 134.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…70b7backed Yes | 43c | 133.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 44c | 124.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…bd03backed No | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 39cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…04d9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…160fbacked No | 57c | 106.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…bcfdbacked Yes | 43c | 105.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…9683backed Yes | 46c | 104.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Yes | 43c | 86.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…6659backed No | 56c | 84.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 30c | 82.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Yes | 43c | 74.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…edfabacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Yes | 44c | 71.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Yes | 45c | 69.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…a198backed Yes | 43c | 68.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked No | 57c | 67.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Yes | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 42c | 59.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 44c | 56.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 62c | 55.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…96fabacked Yes | 45c | 53.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…5ef7backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…e8b5backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…7271backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…4be9backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…bff9backed No | 58c | 47.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…a111backed Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…7760backed Yes | 45c | 45.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 53c | 43.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 43c | 36.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…b0afbacked Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…b65fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…76c6backed No | 59c | 33.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed No | 56c | 29.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed Yes | 45c | 27.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Yes | 45c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed No | 57c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…171ebacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed Yes | 45c | 23.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked No | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?this page
- Will Manchester United beat Aston Villa?No won
- Will the match between Aston Villa and Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.