TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a2…cd8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.95
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.43
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$41.11
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$53.38
Mets vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.9
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.55
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$19.56
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.69
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$18.1
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.62
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.17
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 5backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$14.2
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.4
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 2backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.79
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$8.85
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.22
ALDS: Yankees vs. Royals Game 1backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$8.03
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.78
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.83
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.83
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.98
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+37%+$5.97
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$10.98
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$13.66
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+31.6%+$5.95
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+138.1%+$14.18
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$12.67
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.35
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+51.2%+$9.51
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$9.93
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.23
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$9.11
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.1
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$45.16
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.94
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.54
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$9.19
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+69.5%+$9.3
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.1
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.91
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.68
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.15
Colts vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.77
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$11.23
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.5%+$8.3
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+35.1%+$6.45
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$10.23
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$6.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.59
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.6
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+112.8%+$12.44
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.