Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e77cd4bbaa203cdbf59b3d5ed9970a2ce93482e390c4bceb598dc4f630eb3f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd03c…218ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,181$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 2,507$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.03 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 1c | 1,668$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 40c | 1,606$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.84 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 60c | 1,441$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.88 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,133$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 59c | 1,054$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…a937backed No | 61c | 1,049$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 72c | 1,041$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…ae77backed No | 61c | 1,033$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…1d02backed No | 61c | 1,002$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 57c | 978.3$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 59c | 960.51$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…8cb0backed Yes | 43c | 776.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…fa8fbacked No | 61c | 775.17$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Yes | 40c | 647.65$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 42c | 576.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 41c | 560.66$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…e44dbacked Yes | 39c | 515.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed No | 58c | 491.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…c4b8backed Yes | 41c | 482$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…a242backed Yes | 43c | 467.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 18c | 414.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…a44cbacked No | 61c | 363.69$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 39c | 356.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 43c | 353$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 59c | 340.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…db34backed No | 61c | 330.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed No | 61c | 310.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Yes | 37c | 310$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 59c | 289.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 42c | 264.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed No | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Yes | 42c | 239.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 41c | 221.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…2c79backed No | 60c | 193.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…68c0backed Yes | 40c | 148.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 11c | 141.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…a194backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…6b93backed Yes | 41c | 138.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…655fbacked No | 60c | 138.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…15eebacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…34b5backed Yes | 40c | 123.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…1bc7backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed No | 62c | 109.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…98a5backed No | 60c | 100.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 42c | 100.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed No | 61c | 99.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 59c | 94.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c932backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…a9b3backed Yes | 41c | 79.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…bbe5backed Yes | 39c | 79.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…036ebacked Yes | 42c | 77.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…e109backed Yes | 40c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…5a05backed No | 60c | 74.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…349bbacked Yes | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…62ebbacked Yes | 80c | 62.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…5fcfbacked Yes | 42c | 62.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…f09abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…2fcabacked Yes | 40c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…2909backed Yes | 41c | 55.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…d991backed Yes | 42c | 54.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 41c | 54.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…7b1cbacked Yes | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…34cbbacked Yes | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 51.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31bc…5bf4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…3792backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +169%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…362cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-21?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.