Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc079bf139decb2e89325898d80ea86920b6d53fba74bfd7df967f01352387339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes | 31c | 5,379$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 70c | 4,568$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.28 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,023$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…005fbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…b30ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 71c | 1,294$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.87 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ad08backed Yes | 30c | 1,242$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 67c | 1,155$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.16 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed No | 70c | 663.9$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Yes | 29c | 662.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…baf1backed No | 80c | 638.63$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 72c | 539.72$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 506.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 70c | 419.57$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…98f1backed Yes | 30c | 333.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 31c | 332.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed No | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…d728backed Yes | 31c | 316.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Yes | 32c | 314.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…ee18backed Yes | 31c | 237.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6433backed Yes | 31c | 237.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…e3eebacked No | 70c | 237.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…01fcbacked No | 70c | 237.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 71c | 160.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed No | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 71c | 136.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 68c | 129.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 70c | 123.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…5fcebacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…581dbacked No | 72c | 97.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…6219backed Yes | 33c | 87.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…34aabacked Yes | 33c | 85.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…0d6ebacked Yes | 33c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…bfb2backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…8b73backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…73f9backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…91bfbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…1733backed Yes | 33c | 67.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 66.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…14fcbacked Yes | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…0356backed Yes | 33c | 61.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…79e5backed Yes | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…2d3fbacked No | 71c | 54.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…2f1cbacked Yes | 33c | 52.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…840abacked Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…a7f0backed Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…4b06backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 29c | 44.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…c1febacked No | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…dbbbbacked Yes | 31c | 41.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955e…b7c3backed Yes | 31c | 36.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…90bdbacked Yes | 32c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…7077backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…6f2dbacked No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…604dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…c575backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…17dbbacked No | 70c | 35.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed No | 69c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…46bbbacked No | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b02…03a2backed No | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…a200backed No | 70c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 25.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed No | 71c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…25a4backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0158…2f5abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 70c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed No | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…f665backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…b7e0backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…b103backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…16e1backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-21?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.