TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes30c15,126$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.7815554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes30c6,231$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.451450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No71c5,159$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.1910650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No69c4,619$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.7340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed No71c2,816$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No70c2,597$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.239037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.082450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes30c1,643$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d67…776bbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…be64backed No71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No69c1,267$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.864852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No69c767.73$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2388652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed No68c739.89$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.764250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef70…d8f8backed Yes48c689.99$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes42c615$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.351225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed Yes31c589.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No70c492.82$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394d…8240backed No72c449.1$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…448ebacked No71c344.41$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9f…5785backed Yes30c296.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd37…a6d4backed Yes30c295.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ee…7561backed Yes30c289.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No72c262.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Yes45c252.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.121540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…73a8backed Yes30c246.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes10c245.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224c…eb44backed No72c245.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No70c236.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe200…15d6backed No71c197.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7a3…e24bbacked Yes31c195.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…e619backed No71c195.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6acc…34ffbacked Yes30c180.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f46…e0f4backed Yes30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Yes25c173.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3413652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…bedabacked No72c163.89$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b2…4d30backed No72c157$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bca…0e4abacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…0bc0backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba69…41f9backed No71c149.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80bb…e504backed No71c148.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf902…23d7backed No71c142.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2236…19fbbacked No72c141.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7891…e876backed No72c140.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…1bc7backed Yes31c134.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked Yes29c133.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.673953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b7…3f92backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Yes30c132.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.262821.4%6 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x80fc…c492backed Yes31c129.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed Yes31c125.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3485…1260backed No72c112.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb612…a5a7backed No72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…e3a1backed Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599b…baf1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d7…ec25backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf282…fd45backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a2…f408backed No72c97.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes26c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.29534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…8848backed Yes30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5815…787abacked Yes31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc275…c291backed Yes30c76.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4625…cf6dbacked No72c69.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ab…a5dabacked No72c69.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1789…a084backed Yes30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9593…5432backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x261a…ee81backed Yes30c64.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fe…c4eebacked Yes30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0b…788bbacked Yes30c57.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293d…3740backed No72c50.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3429…7dd4backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dee…0114backed No72c48.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No56c46.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4716851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3199…3614backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea69…26dabacked No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…2917backed Yes30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab03…6414backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…c3e7backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3669…8b18backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb012…5ae3backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735c…0c97backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1be…c66abacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x429a…0ac4backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038e…8483backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197e…78debacked No72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe4…2446backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3dc…2947backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5864…1f32backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ed…5e54backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3035…1f37backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.