Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9798b58cab1030a3b5d75ee291d5ac9598f5e53ee13f6ddd0bf525313ef593dc

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 7, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No	28c	19,280$5,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,397.98	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes	72c	9,226$6,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,593.18	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed No	25c	8,089$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.14	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes	72c	6,300$4,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No	25c	5,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	72c	3,457$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.76	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes	72c	3,261$2,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.96	146	59.6%87 W · 59 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No	26c	2,624$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.16	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No	25c	2,600$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.37	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+10.6wins	+0.19per pick	35cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No	13c	2,345$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.85	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	21c	2,128$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.33	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.99	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	28c	1,524$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.96	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Yes	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.99	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	26c	1,152$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.98	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No	16c	1,047$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.51	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+7.1wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed No	29c	1,042$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes	75c	1,000$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.19	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No	28c	999.95$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	14c	860.75$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.41	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed No	27c	800$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	27c	730$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.27	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Yes	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No	25c	606.14$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.35	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	26c	500.34$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.31	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed No	26c	479.9$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes	74c	474.95$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	211	53.1%112 W · 99 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes	75c	441.19$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.3	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	26c	439.27$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.21	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes	72c	400.01$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes	71c	400$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No	28c	390$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	8c	354.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49e…118fbacked Yes	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-5.9wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x620e…0775backed Yes	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Yes	79c	260$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.6	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes	71c	239.51$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.46	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes	75c	224.19$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.05	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Yes	74c	222.47$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.84	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-7.7wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Yes	66c	200$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+165.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Yes	74c	199.99$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b3…27b4backed Yes	72c	190.65$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes	75c	180$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba8…0db7backed No	25c	179.64$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No	28c	163.36$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.18	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	66c	159$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.06	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No	32c	154.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b5…4b18backed Yes	74c	140$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f8…5111backed No	26c	140$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+111.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No	25c	130.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	79	68.4%54 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes	72c	111.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed Yes	70c	109.91$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.97	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…103abacked Yes	72c	104.17$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.17	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No	27c	100.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdb…08c7backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes	72c	85.04$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.84	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a30…30cfbacked Yes	75c	77.33$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.33	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes	75c	73.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes	72c	69.45$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e2…761cbacked Yes	72c	66.67$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…3f7ebacked No	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf847…aa05backed Yes	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945f…c89bbacked Yes	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fee…dd87backed Yes	68c	61.62$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.72	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fb…d465backed No	31c	59.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+36%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c4…b33bbacked Yes	68c	57.27$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f93…a3f7backed Yes	69c	52.65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.58	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes	74c	51.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.27	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x669f…d708backed No	32c	51.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…c8b3backed No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5094…a296backed No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b8…e838backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e77…b734backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+103.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x651c…2c83backed No	29c	48.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Yes	75c	46.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	66cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f3…828ebacked No	32c	44.62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7f…39debacked No	30c	44.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	25c	43.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes	76c	41.89$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1add…f75cbacked No	32c	41.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b67…c09ebacked Yes	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes	75c	41.33$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.33	123	57.7%71 W · 52 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	75cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2877…2f89backed Yes	71c	39.44$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dad…431cbacked Yes	67c	36.97$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+129.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b08…e658backed Yes	68c	36.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?this page
Will Aston Villa vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event