MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0875aa68c0f9837e49856cda34d5e841bcd3adcab647df16f5609dddd99415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 78,482$43,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,113.89 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mets | 44c | 42,822$18,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,923.27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Mets | 78c | 29,820$23,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Mets | 44c | 10,401$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mets | 45c | 8,980$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mets | 53c | 6,649$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dodgers | 1c | 4,805$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 49c | 2,651$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.11 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Dodgers | 17c | 2,077$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mets | 69c | 1,525$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…f013backed Dodgers | 10c | 1,344$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,025$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Mets | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.48 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Mets | 44c | 840.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Dodgers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Dodgers | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Dodgers | 7c | 650$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Dodgers | 41c | 577.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…928fbacked Dodgers | 36c | 529.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Mets | 71c | 513.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers | 56c | 463.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Dodgers | 56c | 447.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…6376backed Dodgers | 18c | 396.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Dodgers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Dodgers | 54c | 346.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Dodgers | 35c | 335.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Dodgers | 56c | 292.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Dodgers | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…a9a0backed Dodgers | 14c | 285.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…4b21backed Mets | 43c | 280$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Dodgers | 36c | 256.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…37a1backed Dodgers | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 6c | 193.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Mets | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Dodgers | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Mets | 44c | 155.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Dodgers | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Mets | 73c | 149.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…a67ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 149.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Dodgers | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Dodgers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Dodgers | 49c | 89.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Mets | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Dodgers | 46c | 87.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…4eb9backed Dodgers | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Dodgers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Mets | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Dodgers | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Mets | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Dodgers | 56c | 42.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed Mets | 45c | 41.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Dodgers | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Dodgers | 58c | 34.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked Dodgers | 56c | 32.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed Mets | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Dodgers | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Dodgers | 56c | 30.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Mets | 46c | 30.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Dodgers | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Mets | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed Mets | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Mets | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 23.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Dodgers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…77e2backed Dodgers | 55c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5this page
- Will the Mets and Dodgers combine for 8 or more runs scored?Over won
- Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.