NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c1ea92873de523f4759efb23743e3b92fff283efad1b527df756144763a9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Grizzlies, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 0c | 42,775$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 70c | 24,966$17,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.49 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Grizzlies | 29c | 24,267$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.45 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 19,139$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.35 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 32c | 10,059$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.79 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3b32backed Grizzlies | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Grizzlies | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 8,316$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.38 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Grizzlies | 13c | 7,895$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.59 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…9e20backed Grizzlies | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 6,302$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 5,606$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.09 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Thunder | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Thunder | 71c | 4,794$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.25 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,138$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,553$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 71c | 3,500$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4e…4facbacked Thunder | 70c | 3,415$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 29c | 3,358$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.56 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Thunder | 72c | 3,259$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.71 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,044$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Thunder | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…dfedbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 2,402$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Grizzlies | 6c | 2,070$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Thunder | 76c | 1,855$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.91 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Thunder | 72c | 1,720$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Thunder | 71c | 1,713$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Thunder | 73c | 1,564$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.42 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Thunder | 75c | 1,550$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…527abacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,520$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Thunder | 69c | 1,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,450$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,377$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 69c | 1,223$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 80c | 1,184$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 1,100$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,072$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Grizzlies | 30c | 994.53$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Thunder | 77c | 974.3$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3465backed Thunder | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…f137backed Grizzlies | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Grizzlies | 3c | 892.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…1080backed Thunder | 73c | 840$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…ab85backed Grizzlies | 28c | 840$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 67c | 818.82$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Thunder | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Grizzlies | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…98cbbacked Thunder | 70c | 654.79$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Grizzlies | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 540$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Thunder | 71c | 525$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Grizzlies | 19c | 521.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…af5bbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 470.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…256dbacked Thunder | 69c | 454.94$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Grizzlies | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 450$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Thunder | 69c | 432$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 417.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Thunder | 70c | 383.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 20c | 376.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Thunder | 72c | 376.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 376.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Grizzlies | 27c | 374.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 7c | 374.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Thunder | 71c | 369.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 70c | 355.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 74c | 339.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 71c | 339.95$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Grizzlies | 30c | 339.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Thunder | 72c | 329.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Grizzlies | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Grizzlies | 15c | 297.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 285.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 73c | 262.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 73c | 253.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Thunder | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…977fbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Thunder | 72c | 249.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Thunder | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Grizzlies | 5c | 203.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Thunder | 74c | 202.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Thunder | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…a974backed Grizzlies | 7c | 199.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Thunder | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Thunder | 74c | 195$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.