TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd67a…eb69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25.05
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$15.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$921.81
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$481.64
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+440.2%+$347.24
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$117.08
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.84
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.62
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.61
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+377.3%+$190.06
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+314.3%+$78.57
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.26
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+203%+$20.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+181.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+181.7%+$36.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$131.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$251.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$349.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$15.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$95.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.