NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5cf7abe544d67074bc81fb74048281077d7311d4b38639b0ce6ba2b58619c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Predators, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Predators | 13c | 20,502$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.5 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 27c | 3,931$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Ducks | 54c | 3,337$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Ducks | 56c | 3,001$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 44c | 1,810$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 68c | 1,728$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Predators | 9c | 1,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 63c | 1,039$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.01 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Predators | 46c | 927.77$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 53c | 731.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Ducks | 36c | 696.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Ducks | 37c | 651.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Predators | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Ducks | 57c | 526.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ducks | 56c | 452.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…13a1backed Predators | 64c | 379.17$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators | 63c | 261.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks | 44c | 245.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 47c | 224.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Ducks | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Ducks | 38c | 183.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Predators | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Ducks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Predators | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Predators | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 37c | 120.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Ducks | 37c | 111.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…97b3backed Ducks | 38c | 74.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Predators | 63c | 59.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Ducks | 38c | 59.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 37c | 56.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ducks | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Predators | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…79b7backed Predators | 64c | 21.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…af06backed Predators | 64c | 20.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Predators | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Ducks | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…1453backed Ducks | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…7453backed Predators | 64c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…c990backed Predators | 65c | 16.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Predators | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.