NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75dbcd792829abade7338e3b2293f465c97a678ba9d3120c78dcfaad2d552a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Packers | 76c | 116,427$88,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,999.05 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Packers | 0c | 50,901$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Bears | 46c | 45,975$21,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,879.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bears | 22c | 34,437$7,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,849.58 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 25c | 30,024$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,617.66 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bears | 20c | 24,947$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.64 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 25c | 22,394$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,783.49 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 26c | 16,626$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,254.44 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Bears | 19c | 9,393$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,608.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 25c | 9,285$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,963.76 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bears | 79c | 6,062$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.03 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Packers | 77c | 5,331$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bears | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.9 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Bears | 23c | 4,454$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.49 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bears | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Packers | 68c | 3,587$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bears | 19c | 3,434$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Packers | 80c | 3,144$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.42 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Packers | 69c | 2,727$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bears | 21c | 2,704$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.32 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bears | 33c | 2,547$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.76 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Bears | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bears | 18c | 2,465$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.12 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bears | 18c | 2,439$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.29 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Bears | 26c | 2,317$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.21 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bears | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.74 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Packers | 70c | 2,196$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bears | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f13ebacked Bears | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bears | 20c | 1,906$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.84 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Packers | 49c | 1,755$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.49 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bears | 43c | 1,674$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.35 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 20c | 1,614$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.67 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Packers | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bears | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bears | 41c | 1,400$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Packers | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bears | 25c | 1,073$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.67 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Packers | 2c | 1,012$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Packers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Packers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Packers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bears | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Bears | 16c | 935.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bears | 30c | 896$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.09 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Packers | 72c | 750$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bears | 18c | 723$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.18 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bears | 18c | 686.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.42 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Bears | 20c | 665.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Packers | 35c | 570$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Packers | 72c | 566.62$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…e19fbacked Bears | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Packers | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bears | 32c | 464.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…efa8backed Packers | 74c | 460$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Bears | 28c | 449.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bears | 20c | 444$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Packers | 58c | 436.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bears | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5a51backed Packers | 66c | 399.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Packers | 13c | 397.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 4c | 386.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Bears | 18c | 360.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Bears | 38c | 335.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bears | 18c | 333$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bears | 35c | 288.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Bears | 35c | 286.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Packers | 67c | 264.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Packers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Packers | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bears | 19c | 247.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Packers | 74c | 245.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…107cbacked Packers | 79c | 241.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Packers | 70c | 235.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Bears | 31c | 229.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Packers | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Bears | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Bears | 21c | 205.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.29 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Bears | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Packers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bears | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bears | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Packers | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bears | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…3480backed Bears | 36c | 196.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…a82dbacked Packers | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bears | 41c | 169.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…9182backed Bears | 25c | 158.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bears | 18c | 153$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Bears | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…dde9backed Packers | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…eee1backed Bears | 21c | 149.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…35e8backed Bears | 27c | 147.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…8304backed Bears | 20c | 145.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Bears | 19c | 137.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Packers | 64c | 135.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe603…94b4backed Bears | 29c | 130.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…dc07backed Bears | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Bears | 34c | 100.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Packers | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.