NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03aa766f7db70c81b6967436c071372703137c25978178fa9aa67f72ab04e8ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 12c | 52,807$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,252 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 39c | 20,965$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,106.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Magic | 18c | 13,854$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,360.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 16c | 10,466$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,759.23 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…9a92backed Magic | 19c | 7,111$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Celtics | 78c | 7,069$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.16 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 37c | 6,614$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.67 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 79c | 6,571$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.62 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 42c | 6,314$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 19c | 6,198$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.39 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Magic | 16c | 5,095$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Celtics | 57c | 4,315$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Magic | 24c | 4,300$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 18c | 3,736$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.13 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Celtics | 69c | 3,722$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…0dc9backed Magic | 19c | 3,480$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Magic | 20c | 3,259$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Celtics | 80c | 3,259$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 17c | 3,204$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.65 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Celtics | 30c | 3,013$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.68 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Celtics | 27c | 2,674$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.57 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Celtics | 43c | 2,469$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Magic | 17c | 2,400$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Magic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.97 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 19c | 1,930$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.13 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Celtics | 59c | 1,817$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.82 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Celtics | 56c | 1,750$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Magic | 19c | 1,596$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.06 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Magic | 17c | 1,553$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.58 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Magic | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.07 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Magic | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Celtics | 40c | 1,321$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.2 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Magic | 21c | 1,297$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.83 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…46babacked Magic | 80c | 1,244$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Magic | 18c | 1,228$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.06 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Magic | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 4c | 942.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Celtics | 3c | 880$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Magic | 19c | 831.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…3405backed Magic | 20c | 829.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Celtics | 74c | 824.55$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Celtics | 72c | 800$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…5ba3backed Celtics | 71c | 799.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 12c | 700$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Magic | 17c | 680.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.39 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Magic | 17c | 680.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.39 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Magic | 19c | 605.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.26 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Celtics | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Magic | 19c | 589.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Magic | 23c | 542.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1cc5backed Magic | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…3840backed Magic | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Celtics | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Magic | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 18c | 499.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Magic | 17c | 499.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.94 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Magic | 45c | 478.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Magic | 18c | 454.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.08 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Magic | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Celtics | 78c | 429.71$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Magic | 70c | 424.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Celtics | 50c | 402.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 19c | 400$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Magic | 17c | 399.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.97 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Magic | 23c | 392.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…c136backed Celtics | 7c | 376.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Magic | 18c | 344.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 18c | 333.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Magic | 15c | 305.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…bd62backed Magic | 14c | 305.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +339.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…ebc7backed Magic | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…3070backed Magic | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 27cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Magic | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Magic | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Magic | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 19c | 254.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…0cc5backed Magic | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Magic | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…356fbacked Magic | 19c | 249.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Celtics | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Celtics | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Celtics | 46c | 217.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Magic | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…fe13backed Magic | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 27c | 209.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Celtics | 31c | 200.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Celtics | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Magic | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0cc9backed Magic | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…78ccbacked Magic | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 32c | 187.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Magic | 17c | 178.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Magic | 17c | 175.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.