NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55519760adb67b0c7d9b04e7a9ed6d700feb573964242197ebaed582de2e80a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Capitals, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Capitals | 54c | 20,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Capitals | 56c | 10,049$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,627.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…ad12backed Sabres | 44c | 10,040$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 44c | 7,554$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 39c | 6,535$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.42 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Sabres | 44c | 6,054$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 50c | 5,773$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.39 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…d95bbacked Capitals | 58c | 4,395$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Capitals | 58c | 3,308$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Sabres | 45c | 3,291$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Sabres | 50c | 3,227$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Sabres | 42c | 2,897$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 57c | 2,442$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.88 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 53c | 2,338$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.39 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Capitals | 59c | 2,288$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Capitals | 65c | 2,220$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Sabres | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…4b2abacked Capitals | 60c | 1,672$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Sabres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Sabres | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.88 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2265…1b6fbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,375$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…ef26backed Sabres | 42c | 1,276$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…88e2backed Sabres | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…9aefbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,102$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,102$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Sabres | 41c | 1,017$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals | 59c | 948.43$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…5296backed Sabres | 43c | 932.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 39c | 839.92$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Sabres | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 41c | 753.62$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.15 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 41c | 749.92$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.45 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…37ddbacked Sabres | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 35c | 709.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sabres | 41c | 691.92$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.23 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Capitals | 46c | 660$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres | 39c | 594.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sabres | 50c | 557$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Sabres | 43c | 511.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…ae30backed Sabres | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Capitals | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…1db8backed Capitals | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 59c | 469.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 59c | 465.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 32c | 449$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres | 40c | 445.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Capitals | 56c | 431.72$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Capitals | 65c | 418.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Capitals | 59c | 402.12$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Capitals | 50c | 398.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Capitals | 56c | 383$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 49c | 370.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Capitals | 60c | 369.49$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 42c | 358.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Capitals | 57c | 349.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 40c | 325.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Sabres | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 58c | 299.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Capitals | 59c | 296.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Sabres | 41c | 289.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres | 40c | 267.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Capitals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…e1d7backed Capitals | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Capitals | 59c | 249.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 57c | 244.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…7501backed Sabres | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Capitals | 59c | 224.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…520bbacked Capitals | 58c | 217.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Capitals | 46c | 215.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 54c | 213.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 42c | 209.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Sabres | 42c | 206.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 44c | 204.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Capitals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 64c | 184.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 40c | 172$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Capitals | 59c | 169.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…c89bbacked Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Capitals | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6502…b479backed Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Capitals | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Capitals | 59c | 152.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Capitals | 62c | 150.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Capitals | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Capitals | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…b90fbacked Sabres | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Capitals | 59c | 130.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Sabres | 47c | 122$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.