NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec9a6fc156ff16ba51659e7099dd0f4fbfa8bf24ef1d759af5ec49b3679c901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Hurricanes, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hurricanes | 67c | 5,346$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Islanders | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.93 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Islanders | 7c | 4,059$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.43 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Hurricanes | 66c | 2,434$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.22 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 18c | 2,102$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders | 34c | 999.87$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.92 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 18c | 819.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.08 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders | 35c | 782$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 34c | 757.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.86 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Islanders | 35c | 642.71$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 575.22$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 35c | 395$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders | 36c | 352$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 22c | 285.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Islanders | 45c | 231.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Islanders | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…26d5backed Hurricanes | 65c | 163.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Islanders | 17c | 163.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 119.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…0c5cbacked Islanders | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 14c | 102.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…f25fbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…065abacked Hurricanes | 67c | 74.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…a350backed Islanders | 34c | 72.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 35c | 63.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Islanders | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Islanders | 37c | 60.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Hurricanes | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 52.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Hurricanes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Hurricanes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 34c | 40.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Hurricanes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…af06backed Islanders | 37c | 27.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe365…ce64backed Hurricanes | 65c | 26.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…bb83backed Hurricanes | 65c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7ebdbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 16.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.