TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Kraken, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken24c6,035$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.6392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche76c4,654$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.186163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kraken19c2,434$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Kraken17c1,133$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.64837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Kraken30c1,001$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kraken28c971.56$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.616642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Avalanche72c899.96$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-80.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kraken28c886.94$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e1…c6e2backed Kraken28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche76c700$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Avalanche74c605.37$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.371776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kraken26c566.28$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.299459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kraken28c554.33$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8211445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche73c514.01$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.019861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche73c500$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.361,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Kraken27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Avalanche74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche71c443.94$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9422246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Avalanche64c399.83$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.952373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche71c331.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Kraken35c321.86$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kraken29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Avalanche70c300$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kraken8c287.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Avalanche71c281.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Avalanche72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Kraken27c266.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken16c249.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Kraken27c249.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.32812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-79.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken24c240.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8613241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Avalanche73c209.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken29c200.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Kraken28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche69c175.35$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c5…25cfbacked Kraken16c169.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Avalanche71c159.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.334158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Avalanche73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Avalanche76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd67a…eb69backed Kraken12c125.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe476…2c3dbacked Avalanche73c123.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d80…baf4backed Kraken29c121.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ef…807abacked Kraken30c120.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Kraken28c110.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Kraken32c106.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.143324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kraken45c106.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0b…878fbacked Avalanche70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Kraken28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kraken29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Avalanche72c76.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.999260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Kraken23c76.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Avalanche70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…fcfbbacked Kraken29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3c…1b88backed Avalanche73c68.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Avalanche75c66.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.983066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kraken27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.284839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083b…3decbacked Kraken32c63.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe52c…eceebacked Avalanche69c61.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640e…4890backed Avalanche74c56.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b5…9628backed Avalanche80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kraken31c48.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7208…14e8backed Avalanche70c46.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04aa…6ccabacked Kraken28c45.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb231…95bcbacked Avalanche72c45.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche73c45.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2639757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…c58bbacked Kraken31c44.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…7c5ebacked Avalanche73c41.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Avalanche74c41.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.893554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc2…c7b8backed Kraken28c38.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb51d…885abacked Kraken30c35.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…9377backed Avalanche72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…275abacked Kraken31c34.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc393…9161backed Avalanche73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…d0f6backed Avalanche73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296b…b313backed Kraken31c34.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e5…ea57backed Avalanche70c33.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1d…d595backed Avalanche72c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10c6…10a7backed Kraken32c33.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27aa…3e17backed Avalanche68c33.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e0…3c31backed Avalanche73c32.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7454…d427backed Kraken32c32.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb59…a84abacked Avalanche68c32.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Avalanche70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kraken32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…1719backed Avalanche73c31.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ba…0409backed Avalanche70c30.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…39b5backed Avalanche70c30.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…8b62backed Avalanche72c30.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e7…fe72backed Avalanche70c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Avalanche70c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x770e…5ec0backed Avalanche73c27.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Avalanche72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.785354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b5…6b83backed Avalanche70c27.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cc…0daabacked Avalanche68c27.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Avalanche73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.