TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3758…7e20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4261.9%26 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$4.48
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.1
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.54
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.73
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.18
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25.7%+$6.18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+55.1%+$11.02
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+68.5%+$10.28
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+76.7%+$19.16
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+74.3%+$18.58
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+39.6%+$16.22
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$152.15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$66.26
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$21.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53%+$21.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$10.36
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$10.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$17.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$26.37
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$20.02
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$17.9
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$5.54
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.4
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+46.3%+$6.95
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+39.9%+$35.88
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.9%+$13.61
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.9%+$37.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$67.59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.89
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$211.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.83
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$18
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$7.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.