TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Rangers38c149,737$57,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,409.417749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Avalanche62c62,625$38,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,797.638354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Avalanche62c60,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,00025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rangers38c55,130$20,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,949.448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Avalanche62c35,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche61c34,660$21,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,517.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers38c25,880$9,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.7588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Avalanche61c22,740$13,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Avalanche62c19,729$12,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,511.018749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers43c13,510$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.171,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers32c10,273$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.361,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rangers38c10,040$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,815.0222550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers39c6,974$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.411,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd848…cee3backed Rangers38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers35c4,997$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.9727143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Avalanche58c4,695$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.922548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.921,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche62c3,786$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.0215954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…e88ebacked Rangers50c3,380$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7c…d563backed Avalanche62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Avalanche66c2,367$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.878952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Avalanche62c2,237$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.13043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rangers38c2,210$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Rangers44c2,042$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Rangers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ea…ad03backed Avalanche62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Avalanche62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7607354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Rangers39c1,821$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rangers31c1,613$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers41c1,560$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.82,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Rangers39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Avalanche55c1,258$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.784746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers35c1,244$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3131…b93bbacked Rangers38c1,242$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Rangers7c1,115$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5911352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers38c1,086$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.871,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Avalanche62c1,086$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.567153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Rangers39c1,064$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9727353.8%147 W · 126 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Rangers25c1,004$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5613435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Rangers38c923.91$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8410565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers39c921.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3631148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503f…1137backed Avalanche62c854.84$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc5…51c4backed Rangers39c833.31$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers36c831.86$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.031,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rangers42c811$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.621,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4510255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Avalanche62c806.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1929651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers26c790$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Avalanche80c762.64$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2717356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Avalanche57c762.61$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.924339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche58c758.86$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Rangers39c757.26$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers39c661$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.791,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Avalanche62c650$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24747051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche62c643.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.191,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers39c625$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7525045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Rangers38c615.79$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers38c599.88$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche64c585.47$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.481,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Avalanche49c565.31$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.315837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Rangers29c501.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14736948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed Avalanche62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers38c499.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9975946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Rangers38c486.51$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8714945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rangers15c480.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.281,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Avalanche54c461.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.011250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Rangers22c454$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5b…d88dbacked Avalanche55c452.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers22c451.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.371,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers37c441.57$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4243944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Rangers48c417.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rangers20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8043742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15270249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rangers47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Rangers37c363$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.315349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers40c362.44$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Avalanche63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.468360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche57c316$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Avalanche58c311.1$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…5a55backed Avalanche63c286.19$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.897243.1%31 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Rangers38c271.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0848748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rangers26c265.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9460141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rangers38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Rangers39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.420446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Rangers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Rangers38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9526848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Avalanche54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11516246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Avalanche57c246.81$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Avalanche62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.947450%37 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Rangers38c241.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.927250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Avalanche59c216.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.934047.5%19 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79f9…c9fdbacked Avalanche61c213.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaed…f6a0backed Avalanche73c204.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9424…5946backed Avalanche61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.