NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73095873d1d2dd60a4899c6263f2789c4a0bbfd19a06d0971b7c3a4cbeae8d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Avalanche, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Avalanche | 42c | 4,748$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 58c | 3,362$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 58c | 1,299$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,224$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 58c | 1,222$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Rangers | 58c | 806.23$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Avalanche | 41c | 271$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Rangers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Rangers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Rangers | 61c | 64.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rangers | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rangers | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Rangers | 58c | 39.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…b664backed Avalanche | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Rangers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Rangers | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Rangers | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…cb3cbacked Avalanche | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Rangers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Rangers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Rangers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Rangers | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. RangersAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.