TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens34c2,418$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.8835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Golden Knights70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights68c999.96$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.441,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Golden Knights70c805.64$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Golden Knights69c768.12$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Golden Knights68c759.13$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.211580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x405a…6382backed Canadiens32c759.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Golden Knights78c716.33$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.365660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Golden Knights70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002763%17 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Golden Knights76c681.21$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens31c647.02$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Golden Knights68c611.38$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.741978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e16…ce1ebacked Canadiens32c611.38$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens30c558.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.191,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canadiens31c542.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Canadiens33c514.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9818136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights69c500$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.741,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights9c360.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.387450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens31c303.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3254349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Golden Knights70c286.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens16c268.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.923,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Golden Knights70c237.19$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.55850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens21c190.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Golden Knights70c188.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…8f39backed Canadiens32c173.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.921145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f40…da68backed Golden Knights68c173.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c5…50a6backed Golden Knights31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828d…e57fbacked Canadiens33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…0862backed Golden Knights69c150.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Canadiens8c149.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.99825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612a…3c9cbacked Golden Knights70c143.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Golden Knights70c142.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Canadiens31c121.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked Golden Knights30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Golden Knights67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Canadiens33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Canadiens31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.996752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…5d4abacked Canadiens77c81.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Golden Knights69c72.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2c…b751backed Canadiens31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights67c67.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.323554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…726cbacked Golden Knights69c65.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Canadiens31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.524647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1886…4795backed Canadiens31c63.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0835…c0abbacked Canadiens33c61.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.218248.8%40 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Golden Knights69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Golden Knights70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab95…61a1backed Canadiens33c55.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.157248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Canadiens32c51.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Canadiens31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens31c46.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Golden Knights70c43.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb2…7ddfbacked Golden Knights69c43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Golden Knights70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed7…a4d7backed Golden Knights69c36.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…1a16backed Canadiens31c35.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366a…57a9backed Golden Knights69c35.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…215dbacked Golden Knights63c34.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dad…76dbbacked Golden Knights69c34.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Canadiens31c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f32…2f2dbacked Golden Knights67c33.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab5…2bc2backed Canadiens32c33.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…03e2backed Golden Knights68c33.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b7…443dbacked Canadiens30c33.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed28…be5abacked Golden Knights68c32.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e6…c56cbacked Canadiens32c31.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1a…b0f6backed Golden Knights68c31.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72c…9278backed Golden Knights67c31.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf902…4983backed Golden Knights67c31.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffb…a618backed Golden Knights69c30.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x707a…255cbacked Golden Knights72c30.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6852…b4d9backed Golden Knights69c30.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a2…79bebacked Golden Knights68c30.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94da…7801backed Golden Knights68c29.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x679d…ac6cbacked Golden Knights70c29.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Golden Knights69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85f…bde3backed Golden Knights69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a7…b471backed Golden Knights70c28.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cad…1f15backed Golden Knights69c28.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f08…22c7backed Golden Knights70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa183…7d11backed Golden Knights70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…ac76backed Golden Knights69c28.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe820…0ecabacked Golden Knights68c27.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights69c27.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9673…8409backed Golden Knights70c27.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2922…d41cbacked Golden Knights66c27.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf49…6e2fbacked Golden Knights71c26.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ed…6e3fbacked Golden Knights68c26.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08c…3491backed Golden Knights68c26.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c6f…ccb6backed Golden Knights68c25.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ba…148fbacked Golden Knights69c25.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b6…ae4fbacked Golden Knights69c25.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…d61bbacked Golden Knights70c25.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…3bafbacked Golden Knights68c25.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x115d…87dabacked Golden Knights68c25.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb2…1aa3backed Golden Knights69c24.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.