TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x371a…34b0backed Utah4c1,582$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.857450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks33c1,488$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.721,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Utah68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks28c978.51$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Ducks16c900$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Ducks25c849.79$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+123.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Ducks50c642.6$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.320345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Utah69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4141776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Utah67c597.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks18c422.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2220540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks32c361.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah69c340.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks8c339.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks37c317.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks31c284.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Ducks48c278.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.899554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah69c250$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Utah70c242.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.884158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Ducks31c218.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0123144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks32c207.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.561,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Ducks17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7399…a2bcbacked Utah69c136.23$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168b…b04abacked Ducks34c136.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Ducks33c119.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8318136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf467…0f59backed Utah69c111.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Utah68c102.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Utah61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Utah69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Ducks32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083b…3decbacked Ducks35c98.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Ducks50c96.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.628744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Utah67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Utah65c77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Utah68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb11d…78cdbacked Ducks32c61.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.89560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de1…897cbacked Utah67c58.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8399…d46fbacked Utah66c53.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc341…94d8backed Ducks34c52.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0686…dbfabacked Ducks31c50.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x304a…eacfbacked Utah60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7338…3aaabacked Ducks33c46.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f1…632bbacked Ducks32c46.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe354…caa3backed Ducks34c45.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Utah69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ea…5d09backed Utah68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44af…129fbacked Utah70c42.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…bc8ebacked Ducks34c36.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf817…df2abacked Utah66c36.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f8…6811backed Ducks33c36.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9616…0e66backed Utah66c35.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa359…e41fbacked Utah67c35.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x219f…e94ebacked Ducks31c34.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.143030%9 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04aa…6ccabacked Ducks33c34.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d4…aebebacked Ducks32c34.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…d94dbacked Utah65c34.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142a…1d79backed Ducks33c34.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x190d…0548backed Utah67c34.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedaa…c9e2backed Ducks33c34.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+88.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfb…81ddbacked Utah68c33.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b3…5af7backed Ducks32c33.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…56d1backed Utah67c33.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4838…9ebbbacked Utah66c33.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4728…ae11backed Ducks32c33.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef0…595cbacked Utah66c32.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64cf…58dabacked Utah68c32.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…918cbacked Utah66c32.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e8…0783backed Ducks34c32.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397a…4904backed Ducks34c31.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…3e32backed Utah68c31.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Ducks32c31.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.288638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Ducks32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.257650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb021…a82fbacked Utah68c31.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3469…c760backed Utah67c31.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f54…b5e5backed Ducks33c30.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f4…61b1backed Utah68c30.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd201…fb65backed Utah66c30.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…9e90backed Ducks34c30.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec79…fc1fbacked Utah66c30.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…0854backed Utah68c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Utah68c29.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Utah68c29.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f5…75c6backed Utah66c29.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Utah68c29.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fd…66f5backed Utah68c29.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…5063backed Utah65c29.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Utah69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205750.9%29 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Utah69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ac…1c20backed Utah67c28.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf736…d219backed Utah68c28.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd575…0c8cbacked Utah67c27.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e4…b85fbacked Utah68c27.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f9…9c86backed Utah67c27.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…f292backed Utah67c26.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ada…b851backed Utah66c26.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b50…0397backed Utah67c26.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd329…8044backed Utah67c26.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cc…35dcbacked Utah69c26.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe165…c2dcbacked Utah67c26.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.