NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec3acf682653cfdf1e664d60c8157bc7d1d74e3d4757b817a21935c4d1e087d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 80,136$22,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,791.67 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…3910backed Magic | 71c | 42,690$30,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,167.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 58c | 14,725$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,505.56 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 73c | 12,162$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,921.69 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Magic | 71c | 11,000$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 10,924$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.29 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 73c | 10,756$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.57 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Magic | 70c | 9,147$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.21 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 7,956$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.1 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Magic | 74c | 7,747$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.62 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 7,714$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 7,187$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.58 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 7,153$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Magic | 61c | 6,700$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.48 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Magic | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 6,223$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.34 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 4,815$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.69 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magic | 71c | 4,664$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.66 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 4,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Magic | 72c | 4,369$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.5 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 4,300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Magic | 72c | 4,287$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.82 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 70c | 4,118$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.35 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 4c | 3,710$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…d159backed Magic | 4c | 3,710$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,436$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.67 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 3,350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 72c | 3,034$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.83 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 2,997$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.98 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 21c | 2,867$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 2,701$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.55 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…8c5bbacked Magic | 75c | 2,680$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…a81bbacked Magic | 71c | 2,466$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 2,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 2,236$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.84 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Magic | 49c | 2,203$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.5 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 74c | 2,077$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Magic | 70c | 2,053$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 2,045$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.02 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 1,933$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 74c | 1,838$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.12 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Magic | 74c | 1,815$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 75c | 1,779$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Magic | 72c | 1,642$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,638$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.2 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,604$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.38 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…6ac0backed Magic | 6c | 1,568$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 73c | 1,527$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Magic | 65c | 1,483$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,475$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Magic | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Magic | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,326$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 1,268$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.03 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Magic | 74c | 1,260$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 74c | 1,247$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.09 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 1,155$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,092$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.38 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,080$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 2c | 1,039$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…999fbacked Magic | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Magic | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 985.15$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.17 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…09d9backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 967.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 938.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 30c | 878.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Magic | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…d1b8backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 770.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +356.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 17c | 663.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 663.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.74 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 631.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 72c | 608$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…c589backed Magic | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Magic | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 71c | 599$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7d97backed Magic | 74c | 586.04$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…d030backed Magic | 73c | 563$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Magic | 4c | 560.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 559.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 32c | 554.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 544.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 544.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.51 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…5b5fbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 538.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 513.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 504.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…37efbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 494.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.73 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 493.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…3c71backed Magic | 71c | 450.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Magic | 74c | 434.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 76c | 430$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Magic | 76c | 427.46$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.