TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Oilers, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ef4…292cbacked Oilers64c122,000$78,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,08040%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ab0…22eabacked Flyers36c121,985$43,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,070.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flyers52c11,030$5,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,322.585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers58c7,920$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.981,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers43c4,141$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.6432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Oilers64c3,293$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.118345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Oilers64c2,069$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3232437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers36c1,409$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Oilers19c1,065$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers63c1,038$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.051,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers48c1,013$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Oilers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0774…7ac5backed Flyers35c999.91$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Oilers27c868.9$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Oilers32c791.41$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.811051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Flyers65c681.74$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7213655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers36c624.78$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers37c604.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Oilers64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3843542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Flyers36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3843557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Flyers36c582.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.893452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Oilers66c570.53$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37616554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers35c555.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Oilers13c498.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.775633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers35c404.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Oilers14c400.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers36c366.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.671,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers36c364.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Oilers64c338.84$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.868350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38db…3090backed Oilers62c290.13$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers64c278$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9224457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Flyers38c264.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Oilers42c240.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfa…a3f5backed Oilers68c222$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Oilers7c220.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers62c215.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2299…910fbacked Oilers32c209.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers66c181$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3831…a86abacked Oilers52c178.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb2…6507backed Flyers36c174.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers64c171.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Oilers65c154.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Flyers40c148.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.278644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Oilers10c126.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.615429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9131…b186backed Flyers38c114.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Oilers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flyers36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Oilers64c109.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Flyers36c107.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0716437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…5927backed Oilers65c107.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Oilers19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89d0…3d1cbacked Flyers36c100.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6422246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Oilers67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Oilers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Oilers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x728c…4e58backed Flyers36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Oilers64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9927643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Flyers37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8548149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ec…9bd2backed Flyers36c94.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Oilers40c89.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.163943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers36c89.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.161,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc023…ef68backed Flyers35c85.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5711…4878backed Flyers37c79.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe554…044ebacked Oilers65c78.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Oilers64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Oilers65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97c…590dbacked Flyers38c76.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…3213backed Oilers66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…61c1backed Flyers36c73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf90…2b33backed Oilers66c72.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+95%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Oilers65c70.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.084852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers35c70.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Flyers36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a7…ece7backed Oilers65c68.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…aed5backed Oilers64c68.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e58…fb5cbacked Flyers37c67.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5cc…4ebebacked Oilers64c67.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b5…c826backed Flyers36c67.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+181.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x202c…406bbacked Oilers65c66.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a91…1aa9backed Flyers36c66.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbd…9aafbacked Oilers65c66.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb3…afafbacked Flyers35c66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff10…1424backed Oilers66c65.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e3…e538backed Flyers36c65.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…b887backed Flyers37c64.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…e4eebacked Flyers35c64.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…2f88backed Oilers65c64.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f72…1abfbacked Flyers36c63.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeaf…b7cdbacked Flyers36c62.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe2…d962backed Oilers65c60.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…073bbacked Flyers37c58.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+87.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cb4…0215backed Oilers65c58.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.211650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f6…a632backed Oilers65c56.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaccd…0597backed Flyers36c55.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.731353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.