NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce54f8b891100e016eb28855f1edccf646c2fc114694d8d62b0a44ed17952b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bucks | 0c | 74,855$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 65c | 37,943$24,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,108.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 36c | 30,712$10,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,938.69 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 67c | 24,832$16,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.19 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 35c | 15,000$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.67 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 76c | 14,900$11,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…5518backed Bucks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 66c | 8,200$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 25c | 8,047$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.2 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 35c | 5,711$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.3 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Bucks | 31c | 4,254$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Bucks | 35c | 4,160$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 70c | 4,148$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.54 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 73c | 4,067$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Bucks | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Bucks | 32c | 3,732$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 33c | 3,022$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.7 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Warriors | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bucks | 26c | 2,985$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 68c | 2,931$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.48 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 70c | 2,896$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.26 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 72c | 2,732$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.2 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 33c | 2,671$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.4 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Bucks | 29c | 2,521$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Bucks | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Warriors | 69c | 2,498$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bucks | 28c | 2,490$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.9 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Bucks | 21c | 2,372$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Warriors | 67c | 2,331$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.67 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 68c | 2,213$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.04 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 18c | 2,000$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 69c | 1,991$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.9 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 25c | 1,951$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 29c | 1,894$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.26 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,756$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.56 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,663$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 31c | 1,617$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 32c | 1,500$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Warriors | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.72 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 67c | 1,464$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.12 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,366$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…d604backed Warriors | 71c | 1,363$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 30c | 1,347$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.07 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 69c | 1,322$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.45 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Warriors | 69c | 1,281$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.11 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Warriors | 79c | 1,204$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Warriors | 68c | 1,185$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.23 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…8de7backed Bucks | 34c | 1,161$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…3109backed Bucks | 30c | 1,135$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Warriors | 68c | 1,097$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Bucks | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…6f51backed Bucks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Bucks | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bucks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…bd5fbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4be…a6dabacked Bucks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…98b3backed Warriors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…5ec1backed Warriors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Warriors | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…f4efbacked Warriors | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb63backed Bucks | 30c | 995.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bucks | 33c | 989.48$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…d6dbbacked Bucks | 32c | 947.42$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 2c | 935$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…afacbacked Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Warriors | 68c | 900$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…4be3backed Warriors | 68c | 900$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…007cbacked Warriors | 68c | 900$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…f85bbacked Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…d3e2backed Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…dc25backed Warriors | 68c | 900$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdf…03a2backed Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…e283backed Bucks | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…2af4backed Warriors | 68c | 900$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Bucks | 34c | 900$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bucks | 23c | 858.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Warriors | 67c | 822.27$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…4bb9backed Bucks | 28c | 814.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…a74abacked Bucks | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…e765backed Warriors | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…58adbacked Warriors | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…1954backed Bucks | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bucks | 13c | 782.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bucks | 28c | 769.31$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 72c | 693.75$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 72c | 678.47$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bucks | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…6185backed Warriors | 75c | 666.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bucks | 29c | 654.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Warriors | 71c | 650.14$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 31c | 645.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Bucks | 30c | 642.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.