TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,539,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,574,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,539,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes45c1,114,815$500,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613,943.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No55c413,500$225,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225,719.795642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No55c120,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,0003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No56c73,466$40,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,804.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c68,750$38,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,545.7962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No55c57,700$31,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,734.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No56c51,398$28,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,772.332045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No56c45,918$25,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,554.751838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No57c44,928$25,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,582.62536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,600475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c33,112$18,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,741.6352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes43c25,200$10,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,325.87922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c22,067$12,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,138.4687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No56c19,502$10,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,920.924252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No54c19,252$10,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,396.078254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c18,500$10,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,084.9813348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c17,641$9,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,536.51,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No56c17,155$9,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,606.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No56c16,116$9,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,024.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No56c15,128$8,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,471.672835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No59c14,471$8,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,543.974447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c12,110$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.331,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No57c12,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8402853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No56c11,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1603148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No54c10,640$5,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,745.62737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No55c10,137$5,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,575.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No58c9,526$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,525.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes50c9,236$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.325763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No54c8,777$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.783246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes44c8,054$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.319558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c7,204$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.6924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9205156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c6,298$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.4235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No56c6,052$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes44c5,972$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c5,527$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.196443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c5,421$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.2771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c5,400$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes44c5,000$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed No73c4,663$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c4,496$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.3448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes41c4,365$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.476952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Yes45c4,335$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes58c4,305$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.0312556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No56c4,140$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3203250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c3,962$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.399553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes45c3,897$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes74c3,515$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.19960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes42c3,098$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.076553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No56c2,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3903036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes25c2,478$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes44c2,406$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No57c2,359$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.72944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes74c2,321$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.5124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes41c2,200$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1407549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed No14c1,995$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked No55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No55c1,613$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.154170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes48c1,582$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.858058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No72c1,574$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.952157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No59c1,227$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c1,200$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No57c1,165$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No65c1,088$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No66c1,060$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.762458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No54c977.71$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes75c973.36$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.265463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No56c972.63$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.463135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes41c969.89$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.882524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No27c913.51$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No59c906.2$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes44c888.64$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes26c884.62$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.622857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No57c763.08$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.158150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No56c756.37$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.729256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes50c596.95$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.182766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c549.62$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes44c531.35$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.932254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…b087backed Yes44c460.8$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes42c450$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd4…a579backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No56c424.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No57c420$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No57c420$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes42c408.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7814045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c393.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3726041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Yes26c392$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.08580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick31cpaid+154%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes50c386.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.215040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c386.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.