TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes30c2,849$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.4870%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked No2c968.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+733.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe380…d91bbacked Yes6c883.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes2c864.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes22c670.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.570%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes18c664.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6280%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No4c642$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+443.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes9c583.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.590%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed No64c496.31$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Yes9c445.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No10c392.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+106.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes10c389.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc428…622ebacked Yes6c387.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c280.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d6b…23f8backed Yes37c267.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes15c259.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes10c230.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2939…1235backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes35c145$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.484942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce6…dcb3backed Yes31c144.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes27c140.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.582035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…aa40backed No75c133.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed21…a3e3backed No64c125.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Yes32c95.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked No50c89.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…75e5backed Yes13c89.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed No60c83.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed No60c83.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec4…f7adbacked No60c83.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f4…37a0backed Yes26c81.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad6…182fbacked Yes39c81.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No55c81.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes15c79.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes18c78.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…9d73backed Yes37c78.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…f79dbacked Yes38c75.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa940…0827backed No64c69.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc887…b75cbacked No55c69.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8860…b396backed Yes36c68.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1d…a9d5backed No54c67.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5be…fce3backed No59c67.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…0eb0backed No62c67.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac72…6b08backed No64c67.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1207…e6ffbacked Yes39c66.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a5…2fc1backed Yes44c66.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad2…cb9fbacked Yes36c66.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5315…c1cebacked Yes40c65.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfc…ae49backed Yes43c64.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99d…169ebacked Yes47c63.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9389…711cbacked Yes20c63.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6f…d902backed No58c63.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39ca…9a52backed No61c61.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23f…ff5cbacked Yes38c60.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes36c58.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b02…53acbacked No59c57.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af6…ba52backed Yes39c56.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Yes62c56.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5338…49d3backed No62c56.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…f7dbbacked No57c56.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f4…080fbacked Yes45c54.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadac…c154backed Yes40c54.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…1b67backed No64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…9a17backed No63c53.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22de…2b07backed No56c53.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c4…769dbacked Yes32c53.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…c806backed No60c53.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…0305backed Yes40c53.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66b…9848backed Yes48c52.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ec…27eabacked Yes44c52.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…e0c4backed No61c52.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d0…3797backed Yes43c52.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes35c52.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…8254backed Yes42c51.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x268d…4823backed Yes41c51.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821f…76f2backed Yes36c51.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x701d…9e08backed Yes38c50.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c3…cbc0backed No63c50.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…d4a1backed No55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0526…c09bbacked No56c49.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edf…d15bbacked Yes43c49.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bf…7259backed Yes38c49.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec35…719ebacked Yes36c49.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d33…6c98backed Yes43c48.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…a64fbacked No66c48.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89e…e1bbbacked No79c48.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab08…ba5bbacked No64c47.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c8…b5dabacked No66c46.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…1fdcbacked No71c46.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a7…6f41backed No60c46.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f2…af5dbacked Yes36c46.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…b6bcbacked Yes42c46.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…3694backed No68c46.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe615…bf94backed No51c45.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc99b…93c9backed No63c45.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…38debacked Yes41c45.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…0c0cbacked Yes40c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf9…bcd7backed No58c43.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e92…9be6backed Yes42c43.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.