Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a2bacee6fc2fae6df409c00851c1177ca0f99a947be178e04b842385e50888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 33c | 6,981$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…f49bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,644$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 58c | 5,526$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 79c | 3,781$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 66c | 3,673$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 3,502$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 50c | 3,311$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…1116backed Yes | 28c | 3,218$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.24 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 74c | 2,994$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 50c | 2,583$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 46c | 2,194$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 36c | 2,180$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…7d31backed Yes | 26c | 1,942$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked No | 59c | 1,885$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 4c | 1,791$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…9f67backed Yes | 23c | 1,650$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 34c | 1,193$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 51c | 1,118$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…1ddebacked No | 77c | 1,021$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,001$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 68c | 970.68$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…7f26backed Yes | 2c | 964.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 934.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 17c | 843.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 30c | 778$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 72c | 770.27$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 43c | 750$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 612.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 31c | 602.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 43c | 570.01$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…3a2dbacked Yes | 26c | 502.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 7c | 502$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Yes | 15c | 491.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…637bbacked Yes | 15c | 479.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…35b1backed No | 80c | 387.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 11c | 381.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 18c | 379.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 50c | 349.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb9…051cbacked Yes | 4c | 317.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…b4c4backed Yes | 35c | 287.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 275.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 33c | 269.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…153abacked Yes | 40c | 263.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked Yes | 70c | 226.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…fa13backed Yes | 32c | 219.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 49c | 200.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b4…6d50backed Yes | 23c | 192.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 179.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 164.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Yes | 13c | 160.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…72c8backed No | 69c | 144.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…76ecbacked Yes | 36c | 139.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…a765backed Yes | 12c | 127.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed Yes | 64c | 123.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 19c | 117.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 17c | 109.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 71c | 90.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 66c | 89.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 82.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 18c | 79.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a8…a67cbacked No | 65c | 76.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…709ebacked Yes | 26c | 68.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…7e94backed Yes | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…db25backed Yes | 25c | 42.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…ebc7backed Yes | 31c | 33.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…9101backed Yes | 40c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…df34backed No | 77c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?this page
- Will Jake Paul fight Andrew Tate next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Artur Beterbiev next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Floyd Mayweather next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Jorge Masvidal next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight KSI next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Ryan Garcia next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Tommy Fury next?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.