TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd449…2b7fbacked Yes43c12,507$5,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,368.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fb…ae3ebacked Yes26c11,812$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.44825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No80c8,854$7,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.034740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed No53c8,572$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.912564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7bff…7cd6backed No75c7,628$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8762100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No57c3,758$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfb…e789backed Yes29c3,426$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes7c3,249$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0780%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes48c2,479$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes15c2,344$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.890%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked No68c2,253$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c2,096$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5025…b051backed Yes5c2,007$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes29c1,891$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-78.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9261…5ff5backed Yes8c1,800$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…72c8backed Yes32c1,708$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65f…bf6fbacked Yes29c1,707$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed No77c1,704$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…e40dbacked Yes8c1,555$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba2…0117backed Yes8c1,552$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9738…a307backed Yes7c1,543$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5e…537abacked Yes8c1,500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da7…5081backed Yes7c1,423$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf826…2470backed Yes7c1,417$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…1a66backed Yes7c1,310$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069a…aa55backed Yes8c1,298$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…ab7abacked Yes7c1,277$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3827…abc9backed Yes7c1,198$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…3eccbacked Yes7c1,127$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e6…3785backed Yes8c1,126$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592e…7019backed Yes7c1,125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d32…c613backed Yes6c1,125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32b…ccd1backed Yes5c1,117$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb8…1544backed Yes7c1,104$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb44…967fbacked Yes7c1,079$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb65…1141backed Yes7c1,069$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd464…db84backed Yes7c1,041$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes5c1,035$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0890%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5b…f9a0backed Yes6c1,031$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19a…b8c0backed Yes5c1,019$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No70c1,011$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555b…5c3cbacked Yes8c983$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7683…49eabacked Yes9c939$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5515…49c3backed Yes6c938$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…b867backed Yes9c893$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2152…2a3cbacked Yes9c893$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ec…c80bbacked Yes8c890$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb742…7c50backed Yes7c886$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ad…0211backed Yes9c878$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes11c873.89$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7030…4f04backed Yes7c865$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8a…e423backed Yes7c850$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9250…fd1fbacked Yes9c781$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa394…4742backed Yes7c779$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ab…db77backed Yes7c779$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb598…d81dbacked Yes7c768$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4c…aca0backed Yes7c738$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5d…21cbbacked Yes8c738$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…6c80backed Yes7c728$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fc…1fa7backed Yes9c721$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…ab8bbacked Yes8c720$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…5316backed Yes8c694$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…22fabacked Yes7c692$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a8…b47cbacked Yes7c684$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c654.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.745817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc959…714dbacked Yes7c653$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980b…93bcbacked Yes8c642$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0a…6374backed Yes6c622$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…9203backed Yes8c605$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes7c600$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…60f9backed Yes8c592$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…34dabacked Yes5c591$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…b21cbacked Yes9c587$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea6…8729backed Yes8c563$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3e…7eadbacked Yes8c562$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e5…095cbacked Yes5c561$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes9c553.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9965…3e0cbacked Yes9c552$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4c…23f2backed Yes8c549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6cd0backed Yes7c518$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41aa…d309backed Yes8c518$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2e…7f81backed Yes6c513$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7382…2fb8backed Yes6c513$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2911…fed6backed Yes22c505.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…4db3backed Yes9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e70…9457backed Yes8c474$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x818d…26edbacked Yes9c470$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fe…4f9fbacked Yes7c465$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa428…d386backed Yes10c460$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6f…dda9backed Yes7c450$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No61c412.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.073330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0051…5016backed Yes8c408$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9a…48afbacked Yes54c404.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe352…a092backed Yes8c381$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610f…1173backed Yes8c380$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43c…96c7backed Yes6c344$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…b1ccbacked Yes14c343.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes19c339.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8b…eb33backed Yes8c316$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.