Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006d76dff23c4c1a2ea4bf4d4a111290740b3fc154ca4d19fa54552f26049f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,955$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 2,099$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…5a1cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,968$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…98a4backed Yes | 8c | 787.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 6c | 543.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…58ffbacked Yes | 11c | 439.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 13c | 417.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 6c | 402.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes | 12c | 401.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Yes | 10c | 256.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 241.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Yes | 12c | 191.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 20c | 178$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 164.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 7c | 162.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…15cdbacked Yes | 21c | 132.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 48c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 80c | 19.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…13d3backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?this page
- Will Jake Paul fight Andrew Tate next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Artur Beterbiev next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Floyd Mayweather next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Jorge Masvidal next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight KSI next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Ryan Garcia next?No won
- Will Jake Paul fight Tommy Fury next?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.