NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b032b49051b44d77626f1875c1f6a6d7be2e3c6dd1f5f1f26126a69ac275fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,195,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,212,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,195,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Wild | 40c | 251,561$100,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,618.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…cab2backed Avalanche | 60c | 175,379$105,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,936.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 75,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 60c | 75,000$44,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,022.73 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 40c | 33,948$13,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,558.21 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Wild | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 60c | 22,976$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,275.87 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wild | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 19,215$11,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.61 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 12,494$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Avalanche | 74c | 12,324$9,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 39c | 10,897$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wild | 23c | 9,467$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.63 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 71c | 8,465$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.29 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Wild | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…2190backed Wild | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wild | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 60c | 5,864$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.56 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 5,700$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 41c | 5,555$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.53 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche | 60c | 5,246$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.53 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 59c | 5,157$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.96 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Avalanche | 60c | 4,455$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 58c | 4,165$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.3 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Wild | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wild | 41c | 3,690$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.08 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 41c | 3,662$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…ea7cbacked Wild | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wild | 0c | 3,297$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 40c | 3,250$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.99 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…848abacked Avalanche | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Wild | 9c | 2,991$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.14 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 11c | 2,417$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 42c | 2,235$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.57 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…10bfbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…187bbacked Wild | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 39c | 2,200$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,189$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.71 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 41c | 2,187$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.34 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 7c | 2,109$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 40c | 2,078$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.2 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wild | 13c | 2,027$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wild | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Wild | 42c | 1,906$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.35 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Wild | 40c | 1,787$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.8 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Wild | 42c | 1,690$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,638$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.93 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…ba02backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2729backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…ff53backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…b10bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…9c84backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…8104backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…3752backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…4ab0backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…480fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e4…fed7backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5c67backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…ec38backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…c65bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…3b7bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…7a01backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…09a2backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…363dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…f05bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c7…4839backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…5f37backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…1396backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…c01ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…05a2backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…0cc4backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…8fbfbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…8038backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a7…a98bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…dfbbbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…4075backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…09ecbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…ef23backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…ec8ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…3b91backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…df5dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…ed6cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…62d6backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…e87bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…1e76backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…743cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…8b05backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…9c32backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…c33fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…639dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…042bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wild | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Wildthis page
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.