TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Oilers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Kings42c1,341$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.7231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Kings38c1,320$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Oilers62c1,113$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.6213655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings43c1,045$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers55c751.24$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0385148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers61c656.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Oilers59c619.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings22c531.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.171,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Oilers59c513.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.058451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Kings46c392.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9618136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Oilers47c351.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.27532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc891…c75ebacked Oilers57c270.86$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…0348backed Kings49c260.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af8…c115backed Oilers55c260.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Oilers56c250$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.920540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers57c231.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers52c225.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Oilers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.863141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Oilers79c196.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.37850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Oilers57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.62040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Oilers61c164.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Kings40c156.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.233040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Oilers79c151.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Oilers56c151.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0126547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Kings26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Oilers57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.484742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfea0…2033backed Oilers58c143.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings57c143.3$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.311,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings39c139.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Kings46c137.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers21c137.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Oilers79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Oilers54c124.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Oilers56c113.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.629957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers53c113.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.361,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Oilers54c110.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed Kings49c102.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.031070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Oilers55c100.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd0…e030backed Kings44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Oilers78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Kings44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.993636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Kings44c99.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.994440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…b2a1backed Kings46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.831450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings44c91.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac8…c934backed Oilers49c84.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Kings44c79.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Kings26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff87…96afbacked Kings46c74.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Oilers57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings41c69.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7913846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Oilers48c62.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c5…f7eabacked Oilers54c61.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a54…8c77backed Kings46c61.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a5…e387backed Kings34c60.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Kings50c59.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed3…1c84backed Oilers49c59.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Kings43c57.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.77444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Kings44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.828445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c7…7c3ebacked Oilers51c56.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Oilers54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2423144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Oilers54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Oilers54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2419647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ab…dffabacked Kings42c55.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Kings55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kings47c53.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6624945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6a…8dc5backed Oilers56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c87…8240backed Oilers59c52.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kings44c51.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Kings63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Kings44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Kings45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Oilers62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…0c8abacked Kings49c47.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0d…46e6backed Oilers51c46.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16a6…457cbacked Oilers55c46.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…3b1ebacked Kings45c46.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd272…089ebacked Kings45c46.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ad…dab4backed Kings44c46.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7297…2119backed Kings51c46.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…4cafbacked Kings44c45.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Oilers48c45.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.867350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x986c…e985backed Oilers50c44.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…c198backed Kings43c44.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.595100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf78f…f6a9backed Oilers56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc799…7e46backed Kings42c44.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fe…2358backed Oilers50c43.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…1449backed Oilers55c43.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Kings46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85eb…b5c6backed Oilers40c43.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e26…0fd5backed Kings60c43.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee31…8715backed Oilers54c43.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…7dbfbacked Kings45c42.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f54…b278backed Kings45c42.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…9ea4backed Kings51c42.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa831…34aabacked Oilers49c42.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.