NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523cdec10b279dc56c247e5f4bd18112e248cedb6787be16efb6fe38f35d8447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,290,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,623,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,290,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Texans | 11c | 475,522$51,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,995.49 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Ravens | 79c | 280,142$222,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,997.91 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Texans | 20c | 167,778$33,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,378.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Texans | 0c | 93,649$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texans | 13c | 78,167$10,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,361.12 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 21c | 65,137$13,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,818.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Ravens | 74c | 55,698$41,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.01 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Texans | 10c | 40,564$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Ravens | 72c | 39,708$28,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Texans | 30c | 32,637$9,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,716.7 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Texans | 19c | 25,278$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Texans | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…3aedbacked Ravens | 74c | 20,600$15,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texans | 20c | 20,325$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.3 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Texans | 24c | 18,367$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.86 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Texans | 28c | 17,428$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.7 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Texans | 21c | 16,757$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.04 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Texans | 7c | 15,864$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.97 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Ravens | 73c | 15,068$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.49 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Ravens | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Texans | 27c | 10,156$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Ravens | 69c | 10,052$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.01 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.97 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Texans | 29c | 9,227$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Ravens | 77c | 9,033$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Texans | 15c | 8,848$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 28c | 8,010$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.01 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Texans | 26c | 8,000$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.98 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Texans | 16c | 7,804$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.84 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Texans | 13c | 7,736$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.3 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Ravens | 71c | 7,414$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Texans | 28c | 7,146$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Ravens | 75c | 7,084$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Texans | 24c | 6,250$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Texans | 28c | 6,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Ravens | 70c | 5,672$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.61 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Ravens | 73c | 5,466$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Ravens | 71c | 5,359$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Texans | 29c | 5,297$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.22 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Texans | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Texans | 27c | 4,918$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Ravens | 72c | 4,517$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…f169backed Texans | 29c | 4,400$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Texans | 32c | 4,398$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.5 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Texans | 29c | 4,392$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.42 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…fcfabacked Texans | 27c | 4,056$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Ravens | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ravens | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Texans | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Ravens | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Texans | 20c | 3,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.87 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Texans | 17c | 3,562$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.16 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texans | 20c | 3,521$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.78 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Texans | 12c | 3,497$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.42 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Texans | 25c | 3,422$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texans | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Texans | 32c | 3,324$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.37 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Texans | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Texans | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Texans | 29c | 2,934$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…cd68backed Texans | 4c | 2,917$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Texans | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Ravens | 75c | 2,850$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.83 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Texans | 26c | 2,677$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texans | 12c | 2,539$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Texans | 28c | 2,496$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Texans | 1c | 2,418$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…7db4backed Texans | 2c | 2,376$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Ravens | 74c | 2,365$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ravens | 72c | 2,313$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.78 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texans | 3c | 2,195$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Texans | 36c | 2,147$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Ravens | 71c | 2,066$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.27 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Ravens | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Texans | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 16c | 2,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Ravens | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…7517backed Ravens | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Texans | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Texans | 15c | 1,961$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Texans | 16c | 1,935$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Texans | 29c | 1,899$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Ravens | 79c | 1,867$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Texans | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Ravens | 73c | 1,713$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.52 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texans | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Ravens | 79c | 1,628$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Ravens | 70c | 1,603$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Ravens | 77c | 1,563$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Texans | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Ravens | 79c | 1,440$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.19 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texans | 3c | 1,409$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Ravens | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Ravens | 75c | 1,305$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Texans | 7c | 1,300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Ravens | 74c | 1,284$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Texans | 17c | 1,281$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ravens | 80c | 1,243$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…fbc6backed Texans | 29c | 1,190$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.