TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valentin Royerof Pablo Carreno Busta, Valentin Royer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer49c43,284$21,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,925.438,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Valentin Royer16c28,787$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,152.813,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Pablo Carreno Busta50c24,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00027053.3%144 W · 126 L-16.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta76c18,539$14,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,157.624,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Pablo Carreno Busta0c14,802$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta67c14,096$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,450.198042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta80c14,093$11,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,213.096,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac86…985bbacked Valentin Royer37c10,109$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,372.124833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Pablo Carreno Busta5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c9,391$6,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,292.1318348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Valentin Royer35c8,236$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.4140748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf19…0a7ebacked Valentin Royer62c7,334$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.261668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Valentin Royer32c7,212$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.32,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Valentin Royer39c5,843$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.2310649.1%52 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta48c5,275$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Pablo Carreno Busta65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25021642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Valentin Royer32c2,626$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.8475046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Valentin Royer36c2,600$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6643164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Valentin Royer32c2,512$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.482,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pablo Carreno Busta71c2,304$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.841,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Valentin Royer9c2,151$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.222231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Pablo Carreno Busta24c2,064$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.16710.4%7 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Valentin Royer33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3401,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Pablo Carreno Busta63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2602740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pablo Carreno Busta39c1,909$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.884,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentin Royer32c1,815$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.183,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta62c1,718$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06548555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Pablo Carreno Busta59c1,660$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.551,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta63c1,638$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.421,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Valentin Royer33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.0578540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Valentin Royer37c1,500$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.139,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03592655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Pablo Carreno Busta77c1,414$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.745,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Valentin Royer33c1,410$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.851,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Valentin Royer32c1,336$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4378336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Valentin Royer34c1,248$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.741,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Valentin Royer39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73232337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Valentin Royer17c1,195$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5513918.7%26 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Valentin Royer33c1,190$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.31,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pablo Carreno Busta60c1,138$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.872,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Valentin Royer77c1,039$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9618246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Valentin Royer10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90064240.2%258 W · 384 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Valentin Royer30c987$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.4411345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Valentin Royer31c987$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.112446%57 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Valentin Royer11c909.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.096651.5%34 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Pablo Carreno Busta67c895.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036448.9%178 W · 186 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa254…244dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta69c801.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Valentin Royer36c782$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5627139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Valentin Royer32c781.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2569141.1%284 W · 407 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Valentin Royer32c781$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.082,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c729.03$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.692,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Valentin Royer10c687.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.339528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc276…9a38backed Pablo Carreno Busta14c675.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.572737%10 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Valentin Royer39c609$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.043345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Valentin Royer33c599.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.996,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c598.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c572.91$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3620756%116 W · 91 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Pablo Carreno Busta65c565.88$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1934655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c564.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta10c559.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5574712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Valentin Royer32c547.25$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.3144151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Valentin Royer9c539.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0636538.4%140 W · 225 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7111…7c21backed Valentin Royer79c532.92$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Valentin Royer35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9935038.3%134 W · 216 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Valentin Royer53c499.76$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8895050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Valentin Royer28c472.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2634854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Valentin Royer59c457.37$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5217044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b66…2e68backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003560%21 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Valentin Royer31c444.61$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7856651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Valentin Royer11c400$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35648214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Valentin Royer34c399.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9936937.9%140 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c375.77$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9713647.8%65 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta53c362.83$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.486,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Valentin Royer16c354.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7822335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07b…6ee4backed Valentin Royer34c323.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.384242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Valentin Royer28c322.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.641,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Valentin Royer70c320.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.594,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Valentin Royer35c307.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.234045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Valentin Royer9c305.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0623831.5%75 W · 163 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20488749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Valentin Royer9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2738732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Valentin Royer32c299$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3230335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c49…c91bbacked Valentin Royer40c294.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Pablo Carreno Busta69c279.09$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Valentin Royer78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4120163.2%127 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Valentin Royer79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Valentin Royer40c252.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1413640.4%55 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Pablo Carreno Busta62c230.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9911750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d3…9450backed Valentin Royer32c217.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.832948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Valentin Royer33c214.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7463537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Pablo Carreno Busta38c198.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.042,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Valentin Royer33c196.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6750147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Valentin Royer33c192$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.467,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Valentin Royer33c192$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4666347.1%312 W · 351 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Valentin Royer17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4720336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Pablo Carreno Busta73c175.32$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9822262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Valentin Royer9c166.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6750336%181 W · 322 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c156.52$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4311948.7%58 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.