NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135cd8463a642ae4c4350b7233d2d1a96ee395682ffe3d7c1b634de9dd1fa06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 2,455$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.82 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 13c | 1,437$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,159$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.61 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Red Wings | 20c | 974.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 858.65$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 570.84$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 517.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 42c | 483.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 403.93$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 302.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Red Wings | 42c | 296.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Red Wings | 42c | 276.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Red Wings | 43c | 264.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…54d4backed Red Wings | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 39c | 255$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 7c | 250.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 250.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6d31backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cd…c341backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 239.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0feebacked Red Wings | 42c | 238.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Red Wings | 42c | 236.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Wings | 43c | 233.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 226.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…cf53backed Red Wings | 45c | 223.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Red Wings | 45c | 222.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Red Wings | 44c | 218.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 201.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Red Wings | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 15c | 182.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 176$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…c75ebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 175.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 147.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…633abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 100.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…7c4cbacked Red Wings | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 99.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…b59bbacked Red Wings | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…c8d4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 89.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Red Wings | 41c | 89.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…22c7backed Red Wings | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…d30cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 88.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cc…4678backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 87.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…3428backed Red Wings | 40c | 86.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Red Wings | 40c | 85.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Red Wings | 41c | 81.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…bc52backed Red Wings | 44c | 76.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 74.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Red Wings | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…0c22backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 69.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…dc56backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 68.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…4953backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 62.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…850ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 61.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…5916backed Red Wings | 39c | 61.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 61.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 61.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…b434backed Red Wings | 39c | 60.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…a562backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 60.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…04b2backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 60.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Red Wings | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Red Wings | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8f…4427backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 59.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…7c3ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 58.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c9…ac66backed Red Wings | 40c | 58.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…94c9backed Red Wings | 42c | 57.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc748…2508backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 57.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…caa3backed Red Wings | 39c | 56.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…15f5backed Red Wings | 40c | 56.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…762ebacked Red Wings | 42c | 54.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…c4b4backed Red Wings | 40c | 53.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…2cb0backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Red Wings | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 51.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…ba72backed Red Wings | 39c | 51.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…96afbacked Red Wings | 42c | 51.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…a992backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…98d0backed Red Wings | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…331dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…0f40backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…d73ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 49.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.