TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eb5…cf53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$445
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.67
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+124.9%+$99.89
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.9
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$66
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$37
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$292.43
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+199.9%+$223.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+34.1%+$427.11
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$804.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.