NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a4bea65826800d3fbb6cc9aa1b80916afbebbfe286a130ada77e5b8bd5ba18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $469,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Senators | 52c | 201,848$104,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,024.11 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 52c | 31,056$16,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,106.88 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 29,584$14,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,367.43 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 25,664$12,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,088.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 21,767$10,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,317.07 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 43c | 15,439$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,706.28 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 15,137$7,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.95 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 14,242$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Senators | 52c | 10,666$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 9,717$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 7,904$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 7,555$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.05 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,645$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 6,234$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.69 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 6,169$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.79 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,206$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 19c | 4,924$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Senators | 54c | 4,697$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,990$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.69 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 3,690$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.63 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Senators | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,242$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.61 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,120$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 19c | 3,108$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.63 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Senators | 51c | 2,880$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.23 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 39c | 2,847$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,500$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Senators | 29c | 2,446$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,250$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.92 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 1,999$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,940$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,927$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.22 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,909$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.34 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…cd5bbacked Senators | 52c | 1,899$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,705$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.41 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…9a84backed Senators | 33c | 1,524$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.69 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 52c | 1,454$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.48 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Senators | 52c | 1,313$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,219$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.73 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…72fdbacked Senators | 31c | 1,161$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 35c | 1,147$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 1,104$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,052$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…b82fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…1457backed Senators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…af0bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…c423backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…135abacked Senators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Senators | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Senators | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 51c | 932$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Senators | 45c | 840.63$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 718.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 672$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Senators | 53c | 637.74$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Senators | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 595.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +57%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 558.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…82e1backed Senators | 21c | 504$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Senators | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Senators | 52c | 498.72$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 450$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 449.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 436.01$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 429.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Senators | 51c | 426.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 422.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Senators | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…fe7bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 383.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 360$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Senators | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Senators | 7c | 329.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 317.71$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Senators | 40c | 304.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.